Estonia Vs Georgia Betting Tip: Georgia – 5 September 2020

Miserly Georgians to give little away in Tallinn

Llja Antonov / Estonia ©imago images / ActionPictures October 13, 2019

Estonia Estonia Vs Georgia Georgia

Saturday 5 September 2020 – 17:00 Kick-Off
UEFA Nations League – League C, Group 2
Pick: Georgia to WIN
Odds: 19/20
Bookmaker: Bet365
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 3 September 2020)

Preview: We delve into League C for this opening round of Nations League matches for Estonia‘s opening group game, which takes places in the capital Tallinn against Georgia. The latter, who have never won in Estonia in three attempts, appear primed for success on Saturday evening.

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Estonia Preview – New coach failed to have desired effect?

Although still in League C, Estonia are fortunate to be at this level after finishing last of four in Group C2 in 2018. Their section on that occasion comprised Finland, Greece and Hungary – all nations currently lurking just outside the world’s top 50. The Baltic nation registering only one win across six match-ups (W1 D1 L4), with that a shock 1-0 scoreline in Athens in their final fixture with the Greeks.

However, the task at hand should be a great deal less strenuous now. Drawn in Group C3 with Armenia (FIFA Rank: 102), Georgia (91) and North Macedonia (61), Estonia (104), who are the lowest ranked nation in this particular group, will only come face-to-face with one opponent ranked more than 13 places above them in the latest FIFA Rankings.

It still promises to be an arduous campaign, though. Since appointing a new head coach, promoting Karel Voolaid from the Under-23 set-up, Estonia haven’t won any of six matches in which the 43-year-old has overseen (D1 L5). Their most recent win coming against lowly Gibraltar, winning 1-0 away in March 2019. In addition, it has now been three years since they last won a competitive match on home soil (D1 L7), losing the last four.

 

Georgia Win To Nil
15/8

Bet365

 

Georgia Preview – Vladimir Weiss’ settled side on the up?

As the higher ranked nation, in a section which included Andorra, Kazakhstan and Latvia, it was perhaps of little surprise Georgia secured promotion out of Group D1 in this tournament back in 2018. However it was the manner, winning all but one of six games (W5 D1) to comfortably top the group by ten points, which suggests they could take what is effectively a step up in class in their stride.

A quick start in the 2018 Nations League was pivotal, following up a 2-0 victory in Kazakhstan with a further three wins without conceding before an early lead in Andorra was cancelled out in the second half. In fact, the Georgians would take the lead in all six matches, and were only denied their fifth win to nil of the campaign when Kazakhstan netted an injury time consolation in the final group game.

Proving these defensive performances were no flash in the pan, Georgia would claim some creditable results in Euro 2020 Qualifying. In the capital of Tbilisi, neither Denmark or Republic of Ireland breached the host’s stoic rearguard, settling for goalless draws. Although they did find it difficult replicating these displays on the road: W1 L3, GF4 GA8 – though 1-0 scorelines in Ireland and Switzerland were respectable.

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Estonia Vs Georgia Betting Advice

Theoretically, this should be very competitive, between nations ranked in fairly close proximity. However, Estonia are in something of a rut at present, having failed to win any of their last eight internationals (D1 L7). That opens the door for Georgia, then, whose well-drilled defence should allow their attackers to play with a degree of freedom versus a host low on confidence.

 

Estonia Vs Georgia – Key Facts

  • Across the last two major campaigns, for the 2018 Nations League and qualification for Euro 2020, Estonia have accrued one win from 14 matches (W1 D2 L11).
  • By come contrast, Georgia have racked up seven wins from 14 combined matches (W7 D3 L4) played in either the 2018 Nations League and Euro 2020 Qualifying.
  • Estonia are unbeaten at home to Georgia, winning two of the nations three meetings on home soil including the most among them: a 3-0 victory during a friendly in 2015.

 

Comparing the two team’s efforts across both the recent Nations League campaign and Euro 2020 Qualifying highlights the solid claims of Georgia here. The latter winning a combined seven times across the two tournaments compared with Estonia‘s sole victory, who also come up seriously short in front of goal (6 vs 19). The nations are drifting in opposite directions at this moment in time. Georgia 2-0.

 

Best Betting Odds – Estonia Vs Georgia

Estonia – 10/3 (Betway)
Draw – 12/5 (BetFred)
Georgia – 19/20 (Bet365)