Exeter Chiefs vs Saracens
4th December 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Away Win
Bookmaker Betfair
Odds: Even money odds taken 17:45 GMT on December 2nd, 2021
The heavyweight clash of the Premiership Rugby weekend goes down at Sandy Park on Saturday with Exeter resuming their rivalry with Saracens.
Of the two giants of the English game, it is Saracens who have had the more productive season.
Will they be able to go and raid Sandy Park in what should be an epic duel between the two, having won all but two matches?
Table of Contents
Exeter Chiefs Preview – Testing match ahead for Exeter
Exeter Chiefs are on a W5 L4 record in the Premiership this season as they haven’t been up to their usual high standards.
At the end of the last round of action, they were in fifth place in the table, with each of the other top six all having played a game less than them.
This is a tough one on the weekend for them.
In each of Exeter’s last six Premiership Rugby matches, the match-winner has been the away team on the day.
It’s been back to back home defeats in the competition for Exeter, which is pretty much unheard of.
The last time that they lost three home games on the spin was in 2014.
The bookmakers have set their stall out expecting a tight game, with Exeter at 5/6 for the win* (odds recorded 17:45 GMT on December 2nd, 2021).
Can Chiefs get it right at home?
While it hasn’t been the most convincing of seasons for Exeter, certainly not by their standards, they do have head to head form in this fixture.
The Chiefs have won their last four home games against Saracens in the league.
That was after only taking two wins in their seven previous such fixtures in the Premiership.
There is a trend with each of the last five Premiership clashes between the two rivals ending in a win for the home team on the day.
The home form of the Exeter Chiefs this season does need to be scrutinized a little bit more.
They have won only one of their last four such fixtures (L3).
That was after a seven-match home winning streak in the competition.
We can only imagine that this is going to be a close battle and a Chiefs -1 handicap is there at even money for Premiership rugby betting* (odds recorded 17:45 GMT on December 2nd, 2021).
The last two league clashes between the two at Sandy Park have been settled by a margin of no more than 7 points.
Saracens Preview – Sarries have the momentum
It has been an excellent return to top-flight action for Saracens this season, who have suffered just one loss.
In their W6 D1 L1 record this season, the only team to have gotten the better of them was current leaders Leicester Tigers.
That loss came by a margin of a single point only as well.
Since then, Saracens have won five of their six matches (D1) so they are not going to be a pushover.
In the match outright, the Saracens win is at even money* (odds recorded 17:45 GMT on December 2nd, 2021).
It was a W3 L1 record for the London club on the road.
In all three of their away victories, they put at least 26 points on the scoreboard.
Saracens are currently the leading scorers in Premiership Rugby this season and clearly pose a threat.
The only team to have conceded fewer points than they have are leaders Leicester.
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If we are looking at averages, then Saracens have scored an average of 36 points per game in this campaign.
Also, they have scored an average of 3.1 penalties per game this season, the highest of all teams.
It’s been a 93% success rate by Sarries this season for kicks at goal.
Saracens have lost only one of their last four matches against Exeter, but they have lost their last five trips to Sandy Park in all competitions.
As they are undefeated in their last six league matches, this is their longest winning streak since their 16-match winning run in 2019.
Exeter Chiefs vs Saracens Betting Advice
This could be some battle at Sandy Park and looking back at the moment recent head to head, it trends towards a home win.
But we can’t get there, as Saracens are playing the better rugby of the two at the moment and have had a much stronger season.
Therefore the even money quote on the Saracens win in the match outright for Premiership Rugby is our first pick* (odds recorded 17:45 GMT on December 2nd, 2021).
Key Facts – Exeter Chiefs vs Saracens Betting Tip
- Exeter Chiefs have won their last five home matches against Saracens (all competitions)
- Saracens have won three of their last four against Exeter (home and away)
- Exeter Chiefs have lost three of their last four home matches in the Premiership (W1)
- Saracens are W6 D1 L1 this season in Premiership rugby
Saracens have been far more efficient at putting points on the board.
Even though their one loss did come away from home this season, a 1-point margin loss against leaders Leicester doesn’t exactly point to poor road form.
Any way that we look at this, it is expected to be a tight match.
So it’s the Saracens to win by 1-7 points margin that fits the bill at 11/4* (odds recorded 17:45 GMT on December 2nd, 2021).
The best betting odds for Exeter Chiefs vs Saracens
Exeter Chiefs to win: 5/6 at Bet365
Draw: 20/1 at Bet365
Saracens to win: Even money at Bet365
