Exeter Chiefs vs Worcester Warriors
9th October 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Worcester +18 handicap
Bookmaker Betfair
Odds: Even Money odds taken 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021
Exeter posted their first win of the season at the third time of asking, with a success at Sale Sharks last weekend.
They appear to have a good chance of following up back at Sandy Park on Saturday as well.
The Chiefs host Worcester Warriors who have won just two Premiership Rugby fixtures since the start of the previous campaign.
Table of Contents
Exeter Chiefs Preview – Can the Chiefs double up?
After defeats against Leicester and Northampton at the start of the season, Exeter breathed a sigh of relief last weekend.
They ended a three-match losing streak in Premiership action (including last season’s premiership final) with a victory at Sale.
That was a 25-15 victory for the Chiefs at the AJ Bell. Will that see them kick on?
This should be a winnable home fixture against Worcester who finished bottom of last season’s Premiership.
Exeter Chiefs are the 1/12 odds on favourites in Rugby Betting* (odds recorded 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021).
Now to their home form. Their loss this season at Sandy Park against Northampton was a surprise.
But Exeter, being the powerhouses of the league that they are, haven’t lost back to back league home games since 2015.
They lost four on the spin on that occasion.
The overall head to head is heavily in favour of Exeter (home and away).
In 18 previous Premiership rugby fixtures against Worcester, Exeter have lost one.
So that record of 17 wins in 18 Premiership fixtures, certainly points to something of a foregone conclusion here.
It’s a 94% winning home record they have against the Warriors, the best return against any opponent in the competition.
The scoring has been more consistent than explosive by the Chiefs this season so far.
An Exeter Chiefs -16 handicap is in at a quote of 10/11* (odds recorded 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021).
In last season’s corresponding fixture, Exeter earned a 59-7 record.
Interestingly this season, however, they haven’t matched Worcester’s tally of points or tries.
Worcester Warriors Preview – Can Warriors spring a surprise?
Worcester opened the season on a positive note as they came past the challenge of London Irish at Sixways.
That set them off on the front foot, but things have immediately gone backwards.
Since that win over the Irish, Worcester have lost against Harlequins and Gloucester.
The loss to Gloucester last weekend would have been a big blow for them, given that was Gloucester’s first win of the season.
That means since the start of last season, Worcester have won two league fixtures only.
Those were both against the London Irish.
Their victory on the opening weekend of last season at the Stoop against London Irish is their only road win in the Premiership since November 2019.
Not too surprisingly for Premiership Rugby betting, Worcester are 13/2 underdogs* (odds recorded 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021)
They have been more competitive this season in terms of scoring points.
They have scored at least 23 points in each of their three matches this season.
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Worcester Warriors have touched down for 11 tries in this campaign, compared to just 8 produced by Exeter.
However, their twelve conceded is the highest in the premiership this season.
The Warriors have lost their last 12 road games in the Premiership.
During that spell, however, they did bank seven bonus points (4 losing bonus points, 3 try bonus points).
They took both a Try Scoring Bonus and a Losing Bonus in their loss at reigning champions Harlequins this season.
The visitors can be backed at evens to cover a +16 handicap * (odds recorded 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021).
Exeter Chiefs vs Worcester Warriors Betting Advice
Worcester have been putting the tries on the board this season. In their one away game so far, they gave Harlequins a good run for their money.
We do, of course, expect them to leave Sandy Park on the weekend empty-handed.
But the Worcester +16 handicap at evens does pique some interest* (odds recorded 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021).
Key Facts – Exeter Chiefs vs Worcester Warriors Betting Tip
- Exeter Chiefs have won 17 of 18 Premiership fixtures against Worcester
- Exeter Chiefs lost their home opener this season against Northampton
- Worcester Warriors have won one of their last 12 league away games
Exeter dominate the head to head here and will probably walk away with the points.
But Worcester have fresh legs at the start of the season and have taken some good chances that have come their way.
Exeter have been carrying the ball well as expected, but haven’t looked clinical in the try-scoring department yet.
So the Warriors look as if they can stay close enough on the scoreboard.
The best betting odds for Exeter Chiefs vs Worcester Warriors
Exeter Chiefs to win: 1/12 at Bet365
Draw: 33/1 at Bet365
Worcester Warriors to win: 13/2 at Bet365
