Exeter vs Northampton Saints Rugby Betting Tip Exeter -11 handicap- 20th February 2021

Exeter to claim fourth-straight league win as Saints visit Sandy Park

Taqele Naiyaravoro / Northampton Saints ©IMAGO / Colorsport 06.02.2021

England Exeter vs Northampton Saints England
20th February 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Exeter -11 handicap
Bookmaker coral
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 20:01 GMT February 18th, 2021

Exeter made it three league wins on the spin last weekend as their defence was once again back at its clinical best.

The Chiefs cruised to a home win over London Irish and everything appears to be back in order with them.

There looks to be another good opportunity at maximum points on home soil this weekend as it is the turn of Northampton Saints to pay a visit.

Bet at coral


Exeter Preview – Four in a row coming up for the Chiefs?

After their back to back league defeats out of the blue against Wasps and Bristol earlier this season, Exeter have settled down again.

It’s been three straight wins for them, scoring success over Worcester, Newcastle and then last weekend against London Irish.

The win over the Exiles last weekend was at Sandy Park and the Chiefs only gave up three points in that fixture.

That’s back to back games now in which they have conceded fewer than 10 points in a fixture.

One of those season’s defeats did happen at Sandy Park when Bristol visited in early January.

The only other time that Exeter have lost at the venue in the league was to London Irish in the previous campaign when they didn’t send out their strongest side.

There is big head to head form in favour of the Chiefs against the Saints as well.

Exeter have suffered just one defeat in their last ten matches against Northampton in all competitions now.

They are undefeated at home against them since 2014.

Our betting prediction:
Exeter 8-14 winning margin

Bet at Coral

(odds taken 20:01 GMT February 18th, 2021)


So far at home in their league campaign, Exeter’s wins have been against Bath, Gloucester and London Irish.

Not the sternest of tests by any means.

While Exeter’s scoring output recently hasn’t quite been on point, all three of their home wins have been by at least an 8-point margin.

An Exeter -11 handicap is at 10/11 for rugby betting in this one* (odds taken 20:01 GMT February 18th, 2021).

Their last four home wins over the Saints have been by at least a margin of 21 points.


Northampton Saints Preview – Can the Saints score an upset?

It is a three-match league winning streak that Northampotn have put together.

There was a very good away success for them last weekend when they visited Wasps and earned a 22-17 victory.

That’s an average of about 27 points per game across their last three league fixtures that they have scored.

In the match outright for rugby betting, a win for the Saints is at a quote of 7/2* (odds taken 20:01 GMT February 18th, 2021).

This is a considerably difficult trip to Sandy Park on paper for them and the head to head proves that.

Northampton have only managed to complete six of nine scheduled games this season in the Premiership, because of cancelled fixtures.

There is a -1 points difference that they have taken as well, which does not immediately suggest that they are going to beat Exeter away from home.

Out on the road, this season Northampton Saints have won at Gloucester and Wasps, while they have lost to Sale and Bristol.

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Those defeats are very relevant to us because Bristol and Sale are two of the other current top three in the Premiership along with Exeter.

Northampton didn’t play last weekend as they were awarded a home win over Newcastle as the match was cancelled.

Interestingly they have won all three away games played this calendar year (all competitions).

But this still looks like a bridge a bit too far for them with the reigning champions coming back into form.


Exeter vs Northampton Saints Betting Advice

The notable thing from the last two rounds of action is that Exeter appears to have sharpened up their defence again.

We can see them getting the victory at Sandy Park and with no value in the match outright, we are rolling with the Chiefs -11 handicap at 10/11* (odds taken 20:01 GMT February 18th, 2021).

With only one defeat in their last ten against Saints, we have to go with Exeter.


Key Facts – Exeter vs Northampton Saints Betting Tip

  • Exeter have won their last three league fixtures
  • Exeter have lost 1 of their last 10 matches against Northampton
  • Northampton Saints have won their last three league fixtures


With an awarded victory in hand, it leaves Northampton on at three-match winning streak away from home in the Premiership.

But victories over a struggling Gloucester and London Irish don’t really give good pointers in this much tougher fixture.

Exeter 8-14 winning margin is on offer at 12/5 which has some appeal* (odds taken 20:01 GMT February 18th, 2021).


The best betting odds for Exeter vs Northampton Saints

Exeter to win: 1/5 at Bet365
Draw: 33/1 at Bet365
Northampton Saints to win: 7/2 at Bet365