Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Tip Over 3.5 goals – 6 February 2021

Goals to fly in Freiburg

Vincenzo Grifo / Freiburg ©IMAGO / Poolfoto 17.01.2021

GermanyFreiburg vs Borussia DortmundGermany
6 February 1430hrs
Football – Germany – Bundesliga
Pick Over 3.5 goals
Bookmaker Unibet
Odds: 5/4  odds taken 2000 GMT, Thursday 4 February


Borussia Dortmund’s priority is now securing a Champions League spot and will face stiff opposition when travelling to play Freiburg on Saturday.


Bet at Unibet


Freiburg Preview – Can Freiburg continue their excellent run of form at home and record a rare victory over Dortmund?

Things were looking ominous for Freiburg in the first part of the season when they managed just one victory in their opening 10 league games. In the nine games since then, Christian Streich’s men have won six and drawn one which has seen them shoot up the table. Coming into this weekend’s game Freiburg sit in ninth spot and are 10 points clear of the relegation zone. Although there is still plenty of football left to play, you sense they can look forward to another year in the top-flight.

Streich will feel he can look upwards, now, and potentially qualification for Europe. They are five points behind sixth spot, which happens to be held by Dortmund.


Our betting prediction:
2-2 Correct Score

Bet at Bet365

(odds taken 2000 GMT, Thursday 4 February)
It’s Freiburg’s home form which has been them most impressive of late. Eintracht Frankfurt are the only visiting team out the last five which has taken anything when the teams drew 2-2 last month. They’re also one of the most dangerous attacks with only Bayern Munich scoring more goals at home than them (22 in 10 matches).
Having lost their prized asset Luca Waldschmidt to Benfica last summer, Freiburg’s veteran striker Nils Petersen continues to be a threat and has seven goals. He looks well on course to get into double figures for the sixth straight season.

Borussia Dortmund Preview – Will Dortmund strengthen their chances of a top four finish with just a second away win in five?

Successive away games against Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach were always likely to be pivotal in Dortmund’s hope of staying in the title race so the fact they have taken no points from those two matches means it’s no surprise that they have slipped will adrift of the leaders. The gap is now 13 points between Dortmund and Bayern so focus very much switches to ensuring they finish in the top four and qualify for the Champions League.

Whilst they’re still fancied to do that, unless they become harder to score against and find more consistency then there is a realistic chance they could fall short.


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To indicate how poor Dortmund have been defensively, they’ve managed to keep just one clean sheet in seven matches so far this year. And that was the first match of 2021. In the six games proceeding that Dortmund have conceded 11 and it’s nowhere near good enough. There are obvious issues in the style of play and finding a balance between defence and attack.

There’s certainly no issue with form of Erling Haaland who is scoring at the rate of a goal a game in the Bundesliga. He needs support from elsewhere, though, and the next highest scorers in the squad have managed only three a-piece.

Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Advice

Considering how porous Dortmund have been of late they would not have been wanting to be travelling to the team who have such a good home attack. That said, their record against Freiburg in recent years has been excellent and they are looking to preserve an unbeaten run of 19 matches against this opponent. Dortmund thumped Freiburg 4-0 in the meeting earlier this season.


Key Facts – Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Tip

  • Freiburg are unbeaten in six home matches taken 14 points and scoring 17 goals during that run
  • Dortmund have conceded in each of their last six games, allowing a total of 11 goals
  • May 2010 was the last time Freiburg beat Dortmund – a run of 19 games without victory in this fixture since


As much as Freiburg have been excellent at home of late it’s hard to ignore the trends in this fixture. Instead, I’m happy to explore the goal markets and over 3.5 looks appealing. It’s been a winner in four of Freiburg’s last six home matches and three of Dortmund’s last five in all competitions.


Best Betting Odds for Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund

Freiburg: to win: 18/5 Betvictor
Draw: 10/3 at Betvictor
Borussia Dortmund: 3/5 at Betvictor