Germany v Greece Betting Tip Germany (-1) – Friday 22nd June 2012

Boateng - Oezil - Podolski (Germany)
Boateng - Oezil - Podolski (Germany) © GEPA pictures

Germany v Greece

Germany won all three games in the group stage – as well as all 10 in qualifying – and have now displaced Spain as many people’s favourites for the tournament. Having watched all three of their games at Euro 2012, they have still yet to reach the heights they set in the World Cup two years ago which is an ominous prospect for the other seven teams left in the competition. Apart from an hour against the Dutch on match day two, they German’s have not overly impressed and will have to up their game as they enter the knockout stage. Their supporters will highlight that they were the only nation to qualify with maximum points. It’s unlikely that Jogi Loew will make any wholesale changes as his system suits the players he has at his disposal. The only major call heading into the finals was who would play upfront with Mario Gomez getting the nod and the Bayern Munich striker looks to have cemented his place as he is currently the tournaments joint top scorer.

Greece have once again shocked the footballing world with their qualification to the knockout stages. After winning the competition in 2004, the Greeks pulled off a remarkable feat by defeating Russia 1-0 in their final group game to qualify as runners-up. If you had watched their first two games in the competitions you would never have believed they could get the better of an impressive Russian team but they did just that. Russia never looked comfortable on Saturday and their indecisiveness cost them dear as Greece scored just before half time before closing the game out in the second half. The scorer of that all important, crucial goal – Giorgos Karagounis – will be missing from the quarter final as he was booked for the second time in the tournament resulting in a one match suspension. His experience would have been crucial and it also means they lack a goalscoring and creative threat from the middle of the park.

Germany are strong favourites to progress into the semi-finals but they have to be more professional than Russia were against the same opponents. Germany’s experienced players should be in a better position to deal with the pressure that comes with expectation and they are unlikely to be phased in such a game.

Greece celebrated as though they won their second European Championships after qualifying last Saturday. It’s a totally different game they face tomorrow and they know they’ll be put under more pressure from the outset. You have to wonder if qualification from their group is already viewed as success from the tournament following their celebrations and victory against all odds.

I don’t envisage many problems for Germany but they may have to be patient if Greece sit very deep. I think they will be comfortable in the end up though, and they can beat the handicap.

Germany (-1) 2pts, 21/20 @ Bet365

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