Gloucester vs Newcastle Falcons
24th April 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Draw
Bookmaker Bet365
Odds: 62/25 odds taken 05:49 GMT on April 23rd, 2021
Both Gloucester and Newcastle are at the wrong end of the Premiership table as far as they are concerned.
Both sit inside the bottom three as it stands, with the Newcastle Falcons holding a four-point advantage over the Cherry & Whites.
So this is a big opportunity for Gloucester Rugby to put a win on the board to claw themselves level with the out-of-form Falcons.
Table of Contents
Gloucester Preview – Can the Cherry & Whites deliver the home win?
It has been a W4 D0 L12 record from Gloucester Rugby this season in the Premiership.
Last weekend on their return to league action after the European break, Gloucester narrowly lost away at Sale Sharks.
That was a very good effort that the Cherry & Whites produced in that one against a top-four team.
There should be plenty enough to give Gloucester confidence.
In the match outright in Premiership Rugby betting Gloucester are 2/7 odds-on favourites* (odds recorded 01:49 GMT on April 3rd, 2021).
Three of the four victories that Gloucester have managed to record this season have been at Kingsholm.
Those were wins against Wasps, Exeter and Worcester Warriors.
They have only won two of their last seven home games, but both of those have happened since the end of February.
Earlier this season Gloucester suffered a 22-10 loss at Kingston Park against Newcastle Falcons, so will be looking for a bit of revenge.
Even though Gloucester have won one of their last four league games (v Exeter) this does appear to be a winnable fixture for them.
The Cherry & Whites have not lost both league games in a single season against Newcastle since the 2016/17 campaign.
But they have lost two of their last three home fixtures in the league against Newcastle Falcons.
A Gloucester -9 handicap is at even money for Premiership rugby betting* (odds recorded 01:49 GMT on April 3rd, 2021).
That’s a big margin and it says more about the slump in form that Newcastle are currently on than anything.
However, Gloucester are averaging 24 points per home game this season and have tallied at least 22 points in five of those eight.
That could be enough of a scoring threat to see them take down Newcastle.
Newcastle Falcons Preview – Falcons up against it at Kingsholm?
Newcastle suffered an expected home defeat against Bristol Bears in the last round of league action.
That was their fifth league loss on the spin now since picking up a win over Harlequins back in Round 11.
The last time that Newcastle claimed a win on the road in the Premiership was at Wasps on December 5th last year.
In the match outright a win for Newcastle is at 11/4* (odds recorded 01:49 GMT on April 3rd, 2021).
The away record of Newcastle Falcons this season is W2 L4, the victories happening against Wasps and Bath.
The last two wins that Newcastle have taken away from Kingston Park have both been in European action.
So there has been quite the big slump from them and only bottom side Worcester have scored fewer points this season than the Falcons.
The thing that could keep the Falcons in the contest is their defence, as they do have the second-best defensive record in the league.
But that has been deserting them a bit in recent matches.
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Newcastle Falcons have conceded at least 34 points in their last two games and at least 24 in each of their last four in all competitions.
Lacking that attacking scoring power as they do, they are falling short in that deficit.
Each of the four away losses for the Premiership campaign have been by a margin of at least nine points.
The Newcastle +9 is at a quote of 10/11 odds in the handicap market for Premiership rugby betting* (odds recorded 01:49 GMT on April 3rd, 2021).
This is looking like a tough ask for them at the moment for a team low on confidence.
Gloucester vs Newcastle Falcons Betting Advice
We can see Gloucester claiming the win because there was a lot of encouragement in their performance at Sale last weekend.
We think that the Gloucester -9 handicap at 10/11 odds is worth taking on* (odds recorded 01:49 GMT on April 3rd, 2021).
There is enough scoring threat that the Cherry & Whites have to get the job completed.
Key Facts – Gloucester vs Newcastle Falcons Betting Tip
- Gloucester have won 2 of their last 7 home league games
- Gloucester are second from bottom, four points behind Newcastle
- Newcastle Falcons have lost their last five league games
Newcastle are on a big slump at the moment, having lost each of their last five league games and their defence has been creaking.
So a Gloucester 1-12 winning margin is at 6/4 and that is up as our main rugby betting tip* (odds recorded 01:49 GMT on April 3rd, 2021).
Even though the Cherry & Whites have poor form this season, they look the more likely of the two.
The best betting odds for Gloucester vs Newcastle Falcons
Gloucester to win: 2/7 at Bet365
Draw: 22/1 at Bet365
Newcastle Falcons to win: 11/4 at Bet365
