Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Tennis Betting Tip Dimitrov to win – 12th February 2021

Dimitrov to win tight Third Round clash with Carreno Busta

Grigor Dimitrov / Bulgaria ©IMAGO / AAP 10.02.2021

BulgariaGrigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Spain
12th February from 0100hrs
Tennis – Australia – Australian Open
Pick Dimitrov to win
Bookmaker Ladbrokes
Odds: 4/6 odds taken 2000 GMT, Wednesday 10th February

This is a very interesting third round match at the Australian Open and it should be a really tight contest.

Spain’s Carreno Busta had a good season at the 2020 Slams and could pose an underdog threat here to Dimitrov.

There is nothing between the two players in the head to hand and only a few places separate them in the world rankings.

Bet at Ladbrokes


Grigor Dimitrov Preview – Dimitrov the narrow favourite

In the tennis betting match outright odds for this third round match at the Australia Open, Grigor Dimitrov is the 4/6 favourite* (odds taken 2000 GMT, Wednesday 10th February).

In the first two matches of this year’s Australian Open campaign, Dimitrov has taken victory in straight sets.

The first of those was a really awkward first-round match against Marin Cilic as well.

Following that success, Dimitrov beat Australia’s Alex Bolt, breezing through after a tiebreaker in the first set.

So he seems to be settling alright so far.

The only other tennis that Grigor Dimitrov has played this year was the Murray River Open earlier this month.

The Bulgarian made the quarter-finals there’s a second seed before an upset against Corentin Moutet at that stage.

Dimitrov’s best effort at the Australian Open was a semi-final finish in 2017. He lost in the second round last year.

Our betting prediction:
Dimitrov 3-2 correct score

Bet at Ladbrokes

(odds taken 2000 GMT, Wednesday 10th February)


The head to head between Dimitrov and Carreno Busta is even at three wins each.

We can easily see this match going above three sets. They looked evenly matched.

So we are going over 38.5 in the games handicap on the match at a quote of 5/6* (odds taken 2000 GMT, Wednesday 10th February).

There could be some legs in this one, which will be the first meeting between the players since 2018.


Pablo Carreno-Busta Preview – Popular Spainard to upset the odds?

Pablo Carreno Busta cheered a lot of people last year with his grand slam performances.

He made strides through to the quarterfinals of the French Open, before following up with a terrific semi-final at the US Open.

The track record of the Spaniards at the Australian Open, however, is nothing much to write home about.

He has not made it past the fourth round in any of his seven previous attempts.

At the 2019 Australian Open, Carreno Busta lost at this third round stage.

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Pablo Carreno-Busta is at a quote of 6/5 in tennis betting to win this match* (odds taken 2000 GMT, Wednesday 10th February).

So the bookmakers don’t think he is totally out of this by any means.

He has made fairly comfortable progress through this draw so far.

He claimed a straight-sets win over Kei Nishikori in the opening round, before needing four to complete his second-round match against Jiri Vesely.

Carreno Busta is easily good enough to at least get one set on the board in this match.


Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Betting Advice

We can easily see this going beyond three sets. In fact, the 5 sets option at 9/5 in tennis betting doesn’t look that unreasonable* (odds taken 2000 GMT, Wednesday 10th February).

These will both punch and counterpunch in a game that can really swing either way.

It’s too early in the season to get a good grip of form and none of the six previous matches have been on outdoor hard courts.


Key Facts – Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Betting Tip

  • Grigor Dimitrov has won both matches at this year’s Grand Slam in straight sets
  • Grigor Dimitrov is W3 L3 in the head to head with Carreno Busta
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has not been past the fourth round at the Australian Open


But we do see that each of the three wins that Carreno Busta has taken over Dimitrov have been classy.

Dimitrov has at least won the two indoor hard court meetings. Because of that we are going with the favourite.

So it is the Dimitrov match outright win at 4/6* (odds taken 2000 GMT, Wednesday 10th February)


The best betting odds for Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta

Grigor Dimitrov to win: 4/6 at Bet365
Pablo Carreno-Busta to win: 6/5 at Bet365