Guinea Vs Gambia Betting Tip: Gambia or Draw – 24 January 2022

Gambia underrated at the prices?

Naby Keita / Guinea ©IMAGO / Sebastian Frej 18.01.2022

Guinea Guinea Vs Gambia Gambia

Monday 24 January, 2022 – 16:00 (GMT)
Africa Cup of Nations
Pick: Gambia or Draw (Double Chance)
Odds: 4/6
Bookmaker: Bet365
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 22 January 2022)

Preview: A first ever meeting between Guinea and Gambia will end with one of these teams booking a quarter-final date with one of either Cameroon or Comoros in this 2022 African Cup of Nations.

African Cup of Nations Betting at Betfair


Guinea – National Elephants to toil in Keita absence?

As the second highest seeds in Group B, Guinea were expected to qualify behind Senegal. Which is technically how it unfolded. A return of four points (W1 D1 L1) good enough for Kaba Diawara and his team to progress onto the round of sixteen in a share of second alongside Malawi, the side they overcame 1-0 in the opening fixture. A creditable 0-0 draw with Senegal followed, before a shock 2-1 loss to Zimbabwe.

Zimbabwe hadn’t earned a single point prior to meeting Guinea, who scored a sublime consolation through Naby Keita. However, the Liverpool midfielder is set to miss this last sixteen contest through suspension, which is be a huge blow for a side that has struggled throughout and would miss his creativity and ball retention. The National Elephants have now won only two of their past eleven internationals (D5 L4).

Key Stat: Putting the ball in the back of the opposing team’s net is easier said than done for Guinea, who across their last eleven matches, going back to September 2021, have scored just nine times and no more than once on nine occasions.





Gambia – Scorpions to land another late blow?

Goal difference was all that was keeping Gambia from topping Group F, one they might have been expected to struggle in on the basis they were the lowest ranking nation among that quartet. Instead the Scorpions thrived, picking up seven points from two slender 1-0 victories over Mauritania and the more fancied Tunisia, either side of a 1-1 draw with Mali. Equalising from the penalty spot in the dying seconds of the latter.

That was their second goal of this tournament scored in the 90th minute or later, making it difficult to discount a side that clearly fights until the bitter end. Moreover, their unbeaten run thus far has extended an excellent record against fellow African nations. Since the start of 2021, Gambia have won five of seven such matches (D1 L1), conceded only twice and banked an impressive five clean sheets.

Key Stat: The last time the Gambian defence was breached on more than one occasion by another African team was in November 2020, in a 2-1 loss to Gabon during an African Cup of Nations qualifier, a run of eight games conceding Under 1.5 Goals.

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Guinea Vs Gambia Betting Advice

Despite coming through the group phase with an inferior record, Guinea (W1 D1 L1) begin as favourites to oust Gambia (W2 D1) who are unbeaten so far whilst bettering their last sixteen opponents for both goals scored and conceded. It was also at this stage of the last edition of this tournament that Guinea were sent packing. At 8/5 in the To Qualify market, Gambia are a tempting proposition to ensure lightning strikes twice.


Guinea Vs Gambia – Key Facts:

  • In the end, Guinea rather scraped into the last sixteen after winning one of three games in Group B (W1 D1 L1). Gambia’s progress was a lot more comfortable meanwhile (W2 D1), trailing only Mali on goal difference in Group F.
  • Since the start of 2021, Guinea have won two of eleven internationals (D5 L4), three fewer than Gambia who have lost just one of their past seven meetings versus African sides (W5 D1).
  • Gambia will be aiming to maintain their 100% scoring record in this tournament. Two of their three strikes so far were scored in the 90th minute or later.


Unfortunately we have no previous meetings to work off, but if their respective forms over the past thirteen months are anything to go on, it is once again Gambia who make the most appeal. The Scorpions have only been beaten in one of seven match-ups versus African opposition since the beginning of 2021, a period that has seen Guinea – set to be without star man Naby Keita – win only two of eleven such matches (D5 L4).

Best Betting Odds – Guinea Vs Gambia

Guinea – 23/20 (Betfair)
Draw – 19/10 (BetVictor)
Gambia – 10/3 (Bet365)