Ireland vs Italy
24th October 1500hrs
Rugby – Dublin – Six Nations
Pick Draw
Bookmaker Ladbrokes
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 23:25 GMT on Tuesday, 20th October
The resumption of the Six Nations season is here. This fixture from Dublin will mark the closure of round four of action.
After the long break, Ireland will need to come firing out of the gates. They need to go hunting for that bonus point which is on offer.
That would send Ireland to the top of the table ahead of the final round of action. An Ireland win is expected. How big of one will it be?
Table of Contents
Ireland Preview – Irish go for a big score
Things are tight in the 2020 Six nations title race. Ireland are currently on nine points with a W2 D1 record.
Four points would leave them level with England and France ahead of the final round.
A bonus point for at least four-tires would send them into Round 5 with a one-point lead.
That is likely going to be crucial for their hopes as well. That’s because England face Italy the following weekend in their final game.
Ireland have a much tougher fixture than that as they have to go to Paris to face the French in a huge showdown.
There is also the factor of points-difference to consider at the end of the day. Just in case the title comes down to that differential.
Ireland are obvious favourites in the match outright, where there is no value on them there.
In the Six Nations rugby betting handicap market an Ireland -28 option is at 10/11* (odds taken 23:25 GMT on Tuesday, 20th October).
It is a ten-match winning streak that Ireland are on against Italy.
Ireland claimed a 26-16 win in Rome in last season’s Six Nations meeting with Italy.
It was a bigger margin of success when they played them at Lansdowne Road in a tour match in early August 2019, a 19-point margin.
Ireland’s 10-point margin success over the Italians in last seasons’ competitions has been their narrowest margin of victory over them in the last six meetings.
The only loss that the Irish have in this season’s Six Nations was a 24-12 reverse at Twickenham against England.
The Irish are only on a +5 points difference for this campaign. So they need to make the most of this opportunity to boost their standings there.
Italy Preview – Wooden spoon again for Italy?
It is likely that Italy are going to walk away with the wooden spoon from the 2020 Six Nations Championships.
They have lost all three games already. They now have to face Ireland and England in their last two games of the campaign.
It has been a really poor return of points from the Italians with just 22 points scored, for an average of 11 per game.
They were blanked in a 17-0 home loss against Scotland in their last Six nations fixture.
Irelay have conceded only six-points shy of triple fixtures as well.
So certainly on the back of that there is a chance for Ireland to get at them.
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Italy have lost their last five fixtures across all competitions now, that last success happening against Namibia in last year’s World Cup.
This is a big ask of them on their return after a long break to go do Dublin and be expected to get something out of the game.
The best we could see out of them is a bit of bullish spirit to stay relatively close to Ireland at the half time break.
An Ireland 8-14 half time winning margin option therefore is at 11/4 odds as a rugby betting selection* (odds taken 23:25 GMT on Tuesday, 20th October).
Ireland vs Italy Betting Advice
This should be a straight-forward victory for Ireland. This is the best game that they could have had on their hands after a break.
It gives them a great chance to get out some rustiness ahead of their big battle with France on the final weekend of action.
We would be all in for Ireland getting their bonus point from four tries against Italy in this one.
With that in mind, an Ireland -28 handicap option at 10/11 does looks solid* (odds taken 23:25 GMT on Tuesday, 20th October).
Key Facts – Ireland vs Italy Betting Tip
- Ireland would go top of the table with a bonus-point win
- Ireland have won their last ten games against Italy
- Italy have lost their last five international fixtures
Italy are just not likely to see enough of the ball to make any sustained nuisance of themselves at the Aviva.
So we are going to look for an Ireland 21-30 winning margin option for a bit of extended rugby betting value at 16/5* (odds taken 23:25 GMT on Tuesday, 20th October).
A bonus point win for the home side would set up a fantastic final weekend of action in the 2020 Six Nations.
The best betting odds for Ireland vs Italy
Ireland to win: 1/150 at Bet365
Draw: 50/1 at Bet365
Italy to win: 18/1 at Bet365
