Italy vs Spain Betting Tip Italy to Win by One Goal – 6 October 2021

Italians to edge past Spain again

Giacomo Raspadori / Italy ©IMAGO / Insidefoto 09/08/2021

Italy vs Spain
6th October 1945hrs
Football – International – UEFA Nations League
Pick Italy to Win by One Goal
Bookmaker Unibet
Odds: 3/1 odds taken 1015 GMT, Tuesday 5 October

Italy and Spain lock horns in a mouth-watering UEFA Nations League semi-final matchup at the San Siro in Milan on Wednesday. The second semi will see Belgium and France square off in Turin on Thursday. The winners will contest Sunday’s 2021 Nations League final in Milan. The Italians are on home soil and will fancy their chances of getting through to the showpiece final, but Spain will be no pushovers in the San Siro. Check out the latest odds and tips.

Bet at Bet365


Italy Preview – Will Gli Azzurri build on Euro success?

Italy have had a terrific 2021 already, winning the UEFA Euro 2020 tournament in the summer. Roberto Mancini’s men were superb in the pan-European competition, seeing off the likes of Belgium, Spain and England to get their hands on the trophy.

Italy were unbeaten in the 2020-21 Nations League, also. Gli Azzurri won three and drew three of six to finish top of Group A1 ahead of Netherlands, Poland and Bosnia & Herzegovina. Italy have been in stunning form for the past few years or so, with the Italians not losing since a 1-0 defeat to Portugal in a Nations League game way back in September 2018.

Our betting prediction:
Over 2.5 goals

Bet at 22Bet


(odds taken 1018 GMT, Tuesday 5 October)

Italy will be hoping to make home advantage count in the 2021 Nations League finals. Can the hosts get past Spain on Wednesday?

Spain Preview – Can the dark horses upset the hosts?

Luis Enrique’s Spain are the least fancied team out of the four to win the Nations League, but the underdog tag will suit La Roja. They had a solid Euro 2020 campaign, recovering well after a slow start to reach the semi-final stage. They went on to lose to Italy on penalties.

Spain have been in excellent form of late. The penalty shootout loss to the Italians and a 2-1 2022 FIFA World Cup qualifying reverse to Sweden right after remain La Roja’s only two defeats in 17 games. They have won their last two, scoring six and conceding none.

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This will be a tough task for Enrique and his Spanish boys, but Spain will fancy their chances of causing an upset in Milan. The away victory is available at 12/5.


Italy vs Spain Betting Advice

These two met at the semi-final stage of the Euro 2020 in the summer. It was a tight and tense affair at Wembley Stadium, with Alvaro Morata’s goal cancelling out Federico Chiesa’s opener to take it to extra time. The tie went to penalties, and Chelsea’s Jorginho slotted home the decisive kick. The meeting before, Spain eased to a 3-0 victory in a 2018 World Cup qualifier in 2017.


Key Facts – Italy vs Spain Betting Tip

  • These two met in the last four of Euro 2020
  • Italy are unbeaten since September 2018
  • Spain have lost two of their past four


On paper, there is not a lot to split these two European heavyweights. Only penalties proved to be the difference last time, and we fancy this to be another close contest. However, our money is going on a narrow victory for the home side. You can get 3/1 for Italy to win by one goal.

These two nations know all about penalties. After their shoutout win over Spain, Italy won Euro 2020 on spot kicks. This tie might not go to penalties, but you can get 2/1 for there to be a penalty in the 90 on Wednesday.


The best betting odds for Italy vs Spain

Italy to win: 13/10 at Bet365
Draw: 21/10 at Bet365
Spain to win: 12/5 at Bet365