Leeds United v Aston Villa Betting Tip Under 2.5 goals – 28 April 2019

Under 2.5 goals at Elland Road

Championship Tips

EnglandLeeds United v Aston VillaEngland
Sunday 28th April 1200hrs 
Football – England – Championship
Pick Under 2.5 goals
Bookmaker Marathon Bet
Odds: 67/50 (odds taken 18.05 GMT, Friday 26th April)

It’s all went a bit wrong for Leeds and their automatic promotion hopes in recent weeks and they are now at the desperation stage whilst opponents Aston Villa are the form team in the country and looking to continue that into the playoffs.

Championship Betting at Marathon Bet

Leeds United Preview

Leeds have been a fixture in the top two for the majority of the season but having suffered consecutive defeats over the Easter weekend, it’s looking increasingly likely that Marcelo Bielsa’s team will have to settle for a place in the playoffs. A hugely surprising and detrimental defeat at home to lowly Wigan on Good Friday was followed with another reverse away to Brentford three days later. Those defeats, combined with Sheffield United winning both of their matches, mean Leeds are now three points behind the Blades and are now at the stage of relying on other teams doing them a favour. What is also not in their favour is goal difference as they are nine inferior to their Yorkshire rivals which is basically another point. In essence, if Sheffield United win at home to already relegated Ipswich on Saturday then this game will be a dead rubber barring a string of events that would required Leeds to win both their remaining matches with a flood of goals and Sheffield United to lose on the final day of the season. It will be demoralising for the club and all associated with it but if they are to finish third then it means they have to revive themselves quickly in preparation for the playoffs.


Key-Facts – Leeds United v Aston Villa

  • Leeds’ automatic promotion hopes could be all but over come kick-off on Sunday if Sheffield United win on Saturday
  • Villa have won 10 straight games in the Championship and are in red-hot form heading into the playoffs
  • Six of Leeds’ last nine games and eight of Villa’s last 11 away games have all went under 2.5 goals


Aston Villa Preview

As I have noted throughout the second half of the Championship season, there’s always one team who come with a surge and end up making the playoffs and this year’s candidate is Aston Villa. Dean Smith’s men have been outstanding since the beginning of March and have rattled off 10 straight victories – a club record. What’s stood out from that run of form is that it’s comprised all different types of wins with emphatic successes combined with a number of games where they have had to grind it out. It’s an excellent place to be as it shows they can deal with different sort of matches, exactly what will be needed with the playoffs looming. Having been defeated in the playoff final 12 months ago there is more than a hint of unfinished business for the club, but so much has changed since then and this group of players and coaching staff are not going to be affected by what happened last season. With Leeds to come on Sunday followed by closing the season out at home to Norwich City a week later, the competitiveness of the games is not going to let up but it will be interesting to see how Smith approaches them with a playoff spot assured, but the opportunity to finish a spot higher and guarantee a home second leg still within their grasp.

Leeds United v Aston Villa Betting Advice

At the beginning of the season most would have predicted it would be Aston Villa who would be challenging for the automatic promotion spots heading into the final week of the season which in itself is a compliment to Leeds. It will mean very little for the hosts at this point, though, who will be reeling from those defeats last week. And if Sheffield United do win on Saturday then a somewhat flatter atmosphere would be expected for Villa’s visit.

These teams could yet meet in the playoff final at the end of next month but there’s a lot to happen before then. Predicting the outcome of this game is made more difficult because the results on Saturday will dictate how Leeds, and even Villa, will approach this. I am confident Sheffield United will do the business however and it see a more subdued Leeds team than we’re used to seeing at home. As such, I would envisage this being a low-scoring affair with the teams happy to conserve energy with what’s to come. Even allowing for current form, six of Leeds’ last nine matches have went under 2.5 goals and eight of Villa’s last 11 matches have done similar.

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