Leicester vs Ulster Rugby Betting Tip Ulster -5 handicap- 30th April 2021

Ulster to grind out the win at Welford Road

Matt Scott / Leicester ©IMAGO / Shutterstock 04/24/2021

England Leicester vs Ulster Ireland
30th April 2000hrs
Rugby – England – European Challenge Cup
Pick Draw
Bookmaker Paddy Power
Odds: 62/25 odds taken 05:49 GMT on April 23rd, 2021

We are into the semi-finals of the Challenge Cup and Premiership side Leicester kick the weekend off at home to Ulster.

Will they be able to defend home turf at Welford Road against the Irish?

The Tigers are the underdogs in the match outright for the successes on the day.

There is a lot on the line here obviously as both teams look to reach their first-ever Challenge Cup final.

Bet at Paddy Power


Leicester Preview – Can the Tigers defy the odds?

Leicester Tigers will have a tough semi-final fixture on their hands in the Challenge Cup.

In the match outright for rugby betting, Leicester are 11/8 underdogs* (odds recorded 01:49 GMT on April 3rd, 2021).

They have lost their last two fixtures, league defeats against Bath and Northampton.

Those two defeats were earned by a margin of five points or fewer.

In the quarter-finals of this season’s competition, they were up against fellow Premiership side Newcastle Falcons.

Leicester produced a commanding 39-15 in that match.

That was their third win on the bounce at Welford Road in all competitions, scoring at least 26 points in each of those victories.

In the Pool Stage of this season’s Challenge Cup, Leicester finished 4th with 9 points

Our betting prediction:
Ulster 1-12 winning margin

Bet at Paddy Power

* (odds recorded 01:49 GMT on April 23rd, 2021)


Leicester and Ulster have never met before in the Challenge Cup.

But they have had 10 previous encounters in the Champions Cup and from that head to head, Leicester trail badly at W3 L7.

The Tigers are not in bad shape with current form, winning five of their last eight in all competitions.

Notably, they have scored at least 39 points in their last two Challenge Cup matches and in three of their four overall this season.

This does represent a tougher assignment though.

A Leicester +5 handicap is coming in at a quote of even money in rugby betting* (odds recorded 05:49 GMT on April 23rd, 2021).

The Tigers have won all six of their home matches in the Challenge Cup, averaging 5.5 tries per fixture.


Ulster Preview – Can Ulster deliver away from home?

Ulster saw off Premiership opposition in the last round of the Challenge Cup as they beat Northampton Saints 35-27 in a good scrap.

Just like Leicester, while Ulster have won the Champions Cup before, they have never gotten their hands on the Challenge Cup silverware.

Ulster won the last meeting between the two clubs, which was in a 2019 Champions Cup pool stage fixture.

Ulster had fought back from 13 points behind to produce a stunning 14-13 win.

Leicester had been on a three-match home winning streak against Ulster before that.

In the match outright, the win for Ulster in rugby betting is at a quote of 8/15* (odds recorded 05:49 GMT on April 23rd, 2021).

It has won over English opposition in both knockout stages of this season’s competition for Ulster.

Before beating Northampton in the last round, they had knocked over Harlequins.

Both of those were away fixtures. That’s three times in total that they have made a trip to England in his campaign.

Ulster have won their two previous semi-final matches in Europe, both en-route to Champions Cup Finals.

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Ulster have won six of their last eight games in all competitions. The most recent of those was in the Rainbow Cup last weekend against Connacht.

With their Pro14 season over, they have played just the three fixtures since mid-March so should be the fresher of the two teams.

The Ulster -5 handicap is at 10/11 odds for the fixture as they turn up at Welford Road as favourites* (odds recorded 05:49 GMT on April 23rd, 2021).


Leicester vs Ulster Betting Advice

We have to side with Ulster who have done the business in England already this season.

They have comfortably knocked off Harlequins and then Northampton Saints so far in the knockouts stages.

Those were wins that would have covered a -5 handicap. So the Ulster -5 handicap looks the way to go at 10/11* (odds recorded 05:49 GMT on April 23rd, 2021).


Key Facts – Leicester vs Ulster Betting Tip

  • Leicester have won all previous Challenge Cup home fixtures
  • Leicester trailed W3 L7 in the head to head with Ulster
  • Ulster have won in England in the last two rounds


Leicester Tigers have had themselves a good season at Welford Road. That includes a win over Connacht in the Round of 16 there, who just beat Ulster in the Rainbow Cup.

But it’s fair to say that Ulster’s focus will have been on this one, so we still can’t quite get to the Tigers.

Leicester have good home form in the competition and are the top points scorers in this season’s competition. But we think they just get worn down by much stronger opposition.

Ulster to win by 1-12 winning margin at a quote of 2/1 is our big rugby betting tip* (odds recorded 05:49 GMT on April 23rd, 2021).


The best betting odds for Leicester vs Ulster

Leicester to win: 9/5 at Bet365
Draw: 22/1 at Bet365
Ulster to win: 8/15 at Bet365