Leinster vs Stade Toulouse
14th May 2022 – Kick Off 1500hrs
Rugby – England – European Champions Cup
Pick Toulouse +9 handicap
Bookmaker Betfair
Odds: Even Money odds taken 20:05 GMT on May 12th, 2022
We are down to the final four in European Champions Cup rugby as the action starts with Leinster playing host to Stade Toulouse.
Home advantage is going to be massive for the Irish province at the Aviva Stadium as Leinster host the reigning champions.
Can they get a famous win under their belt and push ahead to potentially claim a title that would see them join Toulouse as the joint all-time most successful team in the competition?
Table of Contents
Leinster Preview – Can Leinster beat familiar foe?
Leinster will meet Stade Toulouse for the 13th time in the European Champions Cup action on Saturday.
Leinster are four-time European champions and they are in their 13th semi-final.
There is a quote of 1/4 odds-on for a Leinster win on Saturday in rugby betting* (odds recorded 20:05 GMT on May 12th, 2022 at Betfair).
Last weekend Leinster made a trip to face Premiership side Leicester Tigers.
They comfortably beat the English side 23-14 at Welford Road.
That was a big test of their title credentials which Leinster passed with flying colours.
Leinster had lost United Rugby Championship matches against Sharks and Stormers before that.
So the victory saw them avoid losing three in a row in all competitions
In home fixtures, Leinster are on a seven-match winning streak in all competitions.
That includes thumping European Champions Cup victories over Bath and Montpellier.
Leinster have won their last two semi-final matches against Toulouse in the Heineken Champions Cup.
The Irish provinces are now up to 21 wins in their last 24 Champions Cup matches (L3).
They have the top try-scorer in this season’s tournament, James Lowe who has tallied eight.
At this stage of the tournament, you expect nothing but tight classes.
A Leinster -10 handicap at 10/11 looks to be a stretch* (odds recorded 20:05 GMT on May 12th, 2022 at Betfair).
Stade Toulouse Preview – Reigning champions pose a threat?
Clearly the reigning champions Toulouse are not going to go down without a fight.
They will face an intimidating atmosphere in Dublin on the weekend though.
In the last round of Champions Cup rugby action, Stade Toulouse played out a dramatic 24-24 draw at Munster.
That match went to a shootout, with the French side getting across the line to keep their title hopes alive.
In this season’s competition, they have also won at Ulster.
The win for Toulouse in the match outright for rugby betting is 3/1* (odds recorded 20:05 GMT on May 12th, 2022 at Betfair).
So they are clear underdogs in this challenge.
Some poor away form across all competitions backs up their status as underdogs.
The TOP 14 team have lost seven of their last eight on the road in all competitions (W2 D1).
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Stade Toulouse are W2 L1 on the road in this season’s Heineken Champions Cup.
The victories were at Cardiff and Ulster, while they suffered an eight-point loss at Wasps.
Toulouse are undefeated in their last five visits to Ireland in this Champions Cup.
That’s an impressive record at W4 D1.
The head to head between Toulouse and Leinster is even at six wins each.
Something big has got to give on the weekend.
Leinster vs Stade Toulouse Betting Advice
Toulouse are the only team that has five stars on their chest, having claimed the European Champions Cup more times than anyone else.
But, they do appear to look clear underdogs here, as they face a tough test in Dublin.
They do have the star power to keep this tight and the Toulouse +9 handicap at even money is the first rugby tip* (odds recorded 20:05 GMT on May 12th, 2022 at Betfair).
Key Facts – Leinster vs Stade Toulousain Betting Tip
- Leinster are W6 L6 in the head to head with Stade Toulousain
- Leinster have won their last seven home matches
- Toulouse are unbeaten in their last five visits to Ireland (W4 D1)
There is nothing to choose between these two in the head to head, but Leinster have won two of the three previous semi-final meetings.
On home turf, with some fine home form going for them, Leinster look the more likely of the two.
Given the pressure of the situation, this may be a tighter squeeze than they would like.
Leinster 1-5 winning margin at 4/1* (odds recorded 20:05 GMT on May 12th, 2022 at Betfair)
The best betting odds for Leinster vs Stade Toulouse
Leinster to win: 1/4 at Bet365
Draw: 25/1 at Bet365
Stade Toulouse to win: 3/1 at Bet365
