Liverpool Vs Benfica Betting Tip: Under 3.5 Goals -13 April 2022

Klopp's men will ease through to final four?

Champions League Tips

England Liverpool Vs Benfica Portugal

Wednesday 13 April, 2022 – 20:00 (BST)
UEFA Champions League
Pick: Under 3.5 Goals
Odds: 4/5
Bookmaker: Bet365
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 11 April 2022)

Preview: Goals from Ibrahima Konate, Sadio Mane and Luis Diaz has Liverpool in the driving seat in this last eight tie. Benfica therefore require goals under the lights at Anfield, but are likely to be met by staunch resistance in the shape of an in-form Reds rearguard.

UEFA Champions League Betting at Betfair

 

Liverpool – Reds firm favourites to progress?

Victory in Lisbon moved Jurgen Klopp’s side within reach of another semi-final, what would be their third in five seasons under the charismatic German. With the exception of a fifteen minute spell early into the second half, the Reds were comfortably on top in Portugal. More than meriting their two-goal lead. Now, having shortened considerably in the To Qualify betting, they will be aiming to complete the task at Anfield.

That was Liverpool’s eighth win from nine outings in this season’s competition. Inter Milan’s 1-0 triumph on Merseyside in the Round of 16 the only blemish, and even on that occasion the six-time European champions were easily the better team on the night. Tempering hopes of a second-leg victory, however, is the timing of it, with it falling between league and cup meetings against the indomitable Man City.

Key Stat: Liverpool have now won their previous five encounters against sides from Portugal, scoring 16 and conceding only three. This term has seen them dispatch Porto and Benfica by a combined score of 10-2 across three matches.

 

Liverpool Win To Nil
7/5

Betfair

 

Benfica – Eagles require repeat of Amsterdam exploits?

A first appearance in the last eight of the Champions League for six seasons went as expected from a neutral perspective, but certainly not as they would have hoped. The enormity of the task borne out in the statistics which inform us that only two teams has ever won by more than one goal at Anfield in the knockout rounds of the competition, though Benfica can take plenty of heart from being one.

The Eagles earned a 2-0 success visiting this ground in 2006, so needn’t look far for inspiration. However, their record of one win across the last nine Champions League away games (D3 L5) is altogether less encouraging. The Portuguese outfit, currently languishing 15 points from the Primeira Liga summit, picked up one point from three group stage away fixtures prior to staging an upset at Ajax in the last round.

Key Stat: Darwin Nunez took his tally to five goals in nine appearances in this season’s Champions League with a well-taken goal in the first leg. The Uruguayan needs one more to become the club’s all-time leading scorer in a single season of the competition.

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Liverpool Vs Benfica Betting Advice

This will be Liverpool’s fourth encounter against Portuguese opposition this season. An average of four goals were scored across those matches, with a minimum of two in each. This explains such short odds on goals. However, is there an argument for opposing them? For starters, Liverpool’s upcoming schedule – with an FA Cup tie vs Man City on Saturday – means there is bound to be some rotation from Jurgen Klopp.

 

Liverpool Vs Benfica – Key Facts:

  • Benfica do boast history at Anfield, having won 2-0 (a scoreline that would take this tie to extra-time if repeated on Wednesday) here in the knockout stages in 2006.
  • However, Liverpool are currently bringing a nine game unbeaten run against Portuguese sides into this second leg, winning each of the last five by a combined score of 16-3.
  • Just three of Liverpool’s eight victories in Europe this term were ‘to nil’. However, two of these were as hosts (both were 2-0, vs Atletico Madrid and Benfica’s Primeira Liga rivals, FC Porto).

 

Secondly, there are previous – and even recent – instances whereby the Reds have eased up in the second-leg following a comfortable first-leg victory. Think Inter Milan in the previous round or even the 0-0 versus Porto in 2018 having won 5-0 in Portugal. It’s also worth remembering Liverpool don’t concede many (only four in 14 games prior to Sunday’s 2-2 draw at Man City). I think 4/5 about Under 3.5 Goals is fair.

Best Betting Odds – Liverpool Vs Benfica

Liverpool – 2/7 (Coral)
Draw – 5/1 (BetVictor)
Benfica – 9/1 (WilliamHill)