Lugo vs Real Zaragoza
16th June 1830hrs
Football – Spain – Segunda Division
Pick Real Zaragoza
Bookmaker Bet365
Odds: 19/20 odds taken 21:17 GMT, Monday 15th June
Lugo are having a little too close to the drop zone for their own liking. They will head into midweek action just a point clear of the bottom four.
However, they are on a great run of undefeated form at the moment which may give them appeal for punters to trust. They face a tough one here though as they meet second-placed Real Zaragoza.
Table of Contents
Can Lugo defend an unbeaten run?
Lugo may well be at the wrong end of the table, but they started to show some fight before lockdown.
They went five matches undefeated, winning two of those, including a crucial basement battle over Oviedo.
They picked up where they left off as well, earning a great win on the weekend away at Racing. That lifted them out of the drop zone. So can they keep it all going?
That’s going to be mightily tough in this one. But there is hope for them. They have only lost one of their four games played against sides currently in the top six.
That includes a fantastic 1-1 draw against current leaders Cadiz. So they can be a stubborn lot and with confidence on their side who knows? The home form of Lugo this season is W5 D6 L5.
Lugo have picked up a clean sheet in 38% of their home fixtures this season. Only one of their last five league games, home and away combined have made it over 2.5 goals.
Of the goals that they have conceded at home this season, 62% have gone against them in the second half of fixtures. They did collect a battling 0-0 draw when they visited Real Zaragoza earlier this season.
Can Zaragoza break the host’s resilience?
Real Zaragoza are up in second place in the Segunda Division, that is despite them losing their first match back from lockdown. That was a home fixture as well, Real losing 1-3 against Alcorcon.
The away form that Zaragoza has produced this season is W7 D6 L3 which is not too shabby at all.
They are undefeated away from home this season in their six games played against teams currently 14th or lower (W4 D2).
Three of the four wins by Real Zaragoza in that sequence were by a 1-0 scoreline. They are only averaging 1.4 goals per away game this season, so this does look as if it may well be a low scoring affair.
Don’t miss out on other Betting Tips & Predictions
Click here for more Betting Tips
A quick look at the head to head shows that Real Zaragoza have gone W3 D2 L1 in their last six against Lugo. So the form is there. They won 2-1 at Lugo last season.
Five of the seven away wins that Real Zaragoza have earned this season have been by a one goal margin.
They are on a ten-match scoring streak on their travels, while they have been level at the break in 9 of tier 16 away games.
Lugo vs Real Zaragoza Betting Advice
We really had the draw on the radar for this one. Lugo have done a good job on home soil this season against teams from the top half of the table.
So there is a hint there that they could come up with something in this one. But we are still going to side with Real Zaragoza to come back from their upset last weekend.
Key Facts – Lugo vs Real Zaragoza Betting Tip
- Lugo are unbeaten in six league games
- Lugo are one point above the drop zone
- Real Zaragoza have lost one of their last six against Lugo
They have had a good season on their travels and have a pretty handy head to head record against Lugo as well. Their record against sides in the bottom 14 of the table, away from home this season, is great.
But we don’t see them running away with this and so the Real Zaragoza 1-goal winning margin option at 13/8 looks a good fit* (betting odds taken from bet365 at 20:50 GMT on Monday, June 15th 2020)
The best betting odds for Lugo vs Real Zaragoza
Lugo to win: 3/1 at Bet365
Draw: 23/10 at Bet365
Real Zaragoza: 19/20 at Bet365
