Marseille Vs Lazio Betting Tip: Lazio – 4 November 2021

Visitors' superior goal threat makes them the bet in south of France?

Alvaro Gonzalez / Marseille ©IMAGO / ITAR-TASS 16.09.2021

France Marseille Vs Lazio Italy

Thursday, 4 November 2021 – 20:00 (GMT)
UEFA Europa League
Pick: Lazio Win
Odds: 21/10
Bookmaker: WilliamHill
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 2 November 2021)

Preview: With only the teams in first place guaranteed a spot in this season’s Europa League knockout stage, Thursday’s clash inside the Stade Velodrome essentially becomes a must-win for Marseille and Lazio. Rendering a repeat of their 0-0 scoreline in Rome a fortnight ago unthinkable for both managers.

UEFA Europa League Betting at Betfair


Marseille – Goals drying up under Sampaoli?

Jorge Sampaoli’s Marseille sit third in Group E on account of being the only team left in the competition to have drawn all three group stage matches. Denied a win in the first of those, when Spartak Moscow found an equalising goal in the 89th minute to cancel out Cengiz Under’s penalty, the French side have since been involved in successive goalless stalemates – at home to Galatasaray and in Italy with Lazio.

Marseille have scored one goal so far from 3.10 xG, which was that aforementioned spot-kick from former Leicester City winger Under. Meanwhile, since getting their European campaign underway in Russia in September, L’OM have netted no more than once in 8 of 11 matches across all competitions (W3 D6 L2), including none at all in four of the past seven. Winning one of their last four (D2 L1) at Stade Velodrome.

Key Stat: Having found the net on at least two occasions in each of their opening four home games this season, Marseille have subsequently failed to score in two of the last three contests held here at the Stade Velodrome.


Under 2.5 Goals



Lazio – Sarri searching for clinical edge?

Despite this season’s dabble in the Europa League being a record-equalling ninth appearance in the competition, Lazio have never progressed any further than the quarter-finals. More recently, in 2019-20, they wouldn’t even make it out of their group, and there is a real sense of deja vu happening unless the sixth-best team in Italy from last season are able to stamp their mark on proceedings in France.

Maurizio Sarri’s side are currently second in Group E on four points (W1 D1 L1), three shy of leaders Galatasaray who are they only team to have beaten the Italians. That was on Matchday 1, and Lazio deserve credit for the response since then. Utterly dominant at home to Spartak Moscow, creating 3.92 xG in that outing alone, they will also view the goalless draw in Rome a fortnight ago as a missed opportunity.

Key Stat: The Biancocelesti have scored only two goals in their three Group E matches so far, despite creating chances worth an accumulated xG of 6.94 (figures from Infogol).

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Marseille Vs Lazio Betting Advice

It could be argued that both teams have gone off the boil and that a repeat of their scoreless affair in Rome exactly two weeks ago could very much be on the cards. Both come into this return fixture having won once in their past four matches. Last weekend Marseille ended a run of three straight draws with an unconvincing 1-0 win away at newly-promoted Clermont as Lazio were pegged back late on away to Atalanta.


Marseille Vs Lazio – Key Facts:

  • Just one point separates these two teams in Group E, winning one of six group games between them so far. Not a single game in this section has seen Over 2.5 Goals.
  • Marseille’s form, in particularly in the goalscoring department, has been on the decline for quite some time. L’OM winning just three of 11 matches (D6 L2) going back to September.
  • The recent form of Lazio hasn’t been all that inspiring either, with one win in their last four matches (D2 L1). Although they did win three of the four fixtures before this.


The fact Lazio scored twice at such a difficult venue as Atalanta, and were mere seconds from a second successive victory, suggests there is potentially more to come from this side. Particularly as they were the better side in Rome two weeks ago (xG: LAZ 1.99 – 0.81) with only a goal missing from their performance. If they can find it here, it might be enough to sneak a vital win what with Marseille light on goals at the moment.

Best Betting Odds – Marseille Vs Lazio

Marseille – 13/10 (Betfair)
Draw – 12/5 (PaddyPower)
Lazio – 21/10 (WilliamHill)