Mexico Vs Canada Betting Tip: Mexico To Nil – 30 July 2021

End of the road for Canada

Hector Herrera / Mexico ©IMAGO / ZUMA Wire 07/14/2021

Mexico Mexico Vs Canada Canada

Friday 30 July, 2021 – 03:00 (BST)
Pick: Mexico Win To Nil
Odds: 6/5
Bookmaker: Betfair
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 28 July 2021)

Preview: Canada’s reward for ousting Costa Rica in the last eight is a semi-final meeting with Gold Cup holders Mexico, seeking an eighth consecutive final appearance having yet to concede at this summer’s tournament.

CONCACAF Gold Cup Betting at Betfair


Mexico – Miserly El Tri on course to defending title?

As pre-tournament favourites, and reigning Gold Cup champions, Mexico have so far lived up to their billing as the best team on paper in the competition by breezing into a record 13th semi-final. Tata Martino’s team haven’t always sparkled, with a tally of eight goals ranking fourth out of the remaining four sides. Yet they haven’t needed to when the defence continues to give nothing away.

While El Tri aren’t able to boast a perfect record, they are, however, the only side left vying for the trophy yet to concede. The scary thing is, this miserly back line has rarely looked like conceding so far, asserting dominance on all of El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras and Trinidad & Tobago. The latter the only one of that foursome to somehow hold sway in a one-sided goalless draw.

That is now seven games in a row without conceding. Nullifying Honduras, Panama and Nigeria in friendlies played prior to the tournament getting underway. In fact, since the beginning of 2020, Mexico have conceded in just five of seventeen encounters while losing once during regulation time (W11 D5 L1). Moreover, they would concede one goal in winning each of their past four meetings with Canada.


Rogelio Funes Mori First Goalscorer



Canada – Depleted Canucks need something special?

A near perfect 2021 continued with a first quarter-final victory at the Gold Cup since 2007 as the Canucks confidently disposed of Costa Rica, a 2-0 scoreline seeing them progress to their fourth semi-final in all. It was a win made all the more impressive due to coach John Herdman missing key players and took their tally for the year to nine wins in ten, scoring 41 for the loss of just four.

Already without star man Alphonso Davies, whose searing pace and powerful, direct dribbling ability would have been a huge weapon. Canada have since lost talented 21-year-old Ayo Akinola along with top scorer Cyle Larin. Adding insult to those injuries are the suspensions for yellow card accumulation for Lucas Cavallini – scorer of the Canucks last goal versus Mexico – and captain Steven Vitoria.

Hermann must therefore reassemble his team for what is unquestionably Canada’s stiffest assignment so far. However, a commendable performance in their slender 1-0 loss to USA in the final match of the group should provide for some inspiration, especially as that display against the tournament second favourites came hot on the heels of successive 4-1 victories against Martinique and Haiti.

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Mexico Vs Canada Betting Advice

Had this been a match up between the strongest possible XI’s, we could have been in for a competitive spectacle in Houston. As it is, Mexico should sail into their eight consecutive Gold Cup semi-final as they look to defend their title from 2019. Canada have had an excellent tournament. However this does look a step too far, for an upwardly mobile team that isn’t anywhere close to being at full strength.


Mexico Vs Canada – Key Facts:

  • Defending champions Mexico are bidding to reach the final of the Gold Cup for an eleventh time, having featured in the main event the last seven tournaments.
  • El Tri possess a formidable record in this fixture. They are looking to win for the fifth meeting in a row, with three of these encounters seeing them preserve their clean sheet.
  • Mexico are also the only team left in the competition not to have conceded. Tata Martino’s men have now gone seven successive games without conceding a single goal.


Simply picking Mexico, at under 1/2, won’t cut it though. Tata Martino has transformed this team into a slick, well-oiled machine defensively. El Tri are still to concede at the tournament, and haven’t shipped a single goal across seven previous encounters. Furthermore Mexico are unbeaten in nine against Canada, who are missing key attackers and boast one goal in the last four head to head meetings.

Best Betting Odds – Mexico vs Canada

Mexico – 40/85
Draw – 13/5
Canada – 11/2

(All betting odds provided by Betfair)