Mexico Vs Costa Rica Betting Tip: Mexico Win By One Goal – 30 January 2022

Los Ticos to go down swinging in Mexico City?

Santiago Gimenez / Mexico ©IMAGO / Agencia EFE 10/28/2021

Mexico Mexico Vs Costa Rica Costa Rica

Sunday 30 January, 2022 – 23:00 (GMT)
CONCACAF World Cup Qualifier
Odds: 21/10
Bookmaker: Betfair
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 28 January 2022)

Preview: It is third versus fifth in CONCACAF’s final qualifying phase, as Mexico – who finally got their faltering campaign back up and running with victory in Jamaica on Thursday – host a Costa Rican side whose recent resurgence will be put to the test in Mexico City.

World Cup Qualifying Betting at Betfair


Mexico – Are El Tri back on track?

When it rains it pours. That was very nearly the case in Kingston on Thursday, as Mexico almost contrived to turn a dominant performance over Jamaica into what would have been a third consecutive World Cup qualifying loss. Instead, they rallied from 1-0 down against the ten men of the Reggae Boyz, scoring twice in as many minutes (81′ and 83′) to clinch a 2-1 victory that could prove invaluable.

That ended a run of four internationals without a win (D1 L3) for Gerard Martino’s toiling charges. However, with four of the leading five sides in the CONCACAF standings all winning during the last round, those three points suddenly look crucial. El Tri remain in third, trailing Canada and the USA, but know a three and five point gap back to Panama and Costa Rica are not insurmountable with five rounds left to play.

Key Stat: Although the win was all important, Thursday’s 2-1 victory away to Jamaica marked a fifth consecutive match without a clean sheet for Mexico, who had previously shipped at least two goals in each of the last four outings.


Mexico Win & Both Teams to Score



Costa Rica – Los Ticos not giving up the fight?

Despite being second best for much of Thursday’s contest with qualification rivals Panama, it was Costa Rica who emerged with the win that moves them to within two points of an unlikely shot at the intercontinental play-off. Having failed to win any of their opening four qualifiers in this final stage of CONCACAF qualifying, and only one of the first seven, a fourth place finish would be some achievement.

As it is, Los Ticos remain on the outside looking in, back in fifth. And with three of their final five encounters pitting them against the current three best teams in North and Central America (Canada, Mexico and USA), their prospects of reaching a third successive World Cup would appear bleak. This is in spite of a recent resurgence that has seen them win three of the last five qualifiers, but none of four away (D2 L2).

Key Stat: After nine rounds in CONCACAF’s Octagonal stage of World Cup qualifying, there have been a total of 14 goals (7GF, 7GA) across Costa Rica’s nine qualifying encounters. This works out at 1.55 per game, the lowest such figure of the nine teams still in contention for a place in Qatar.

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Mexico Vs Costa Rica Betting Advice

The repercussions from Sunday’s result in Mexico City could be far-reaching. A first win away to Mexico in more than two decades for Costa Rica would blow the race for third and fourth wide open. Victory for Mexico, however, would give them daylight on Los Ticos who, with eight points to make up and only four fixtures with which to do so, would surely be left with to do much to do in order to make the plane for Qatar.


Mexico Vs Costa Rica – Key Facts:

  • Not since June 2001 has Costa Rica celebrated a win as the away side versus Mexico, who were marginal 1-0 victors when the sides met first time around, in San Jose, in September.
  • Mexico haven’t been in sparkling form though. Thursday’s scruffy win over Jamaica was their first for five games (D1 L3) having lost their two prior qualifying outings to Canada and USA.
  • Costa Rica are rallying late on, winning three of their last five qualifiers (L2). However, they are yet to win on the road (D2 L2) nor beat any of the current top-three sides in the standings (L3).


It promises to be a tense atmosphere therefore. With Costa Rica though, it is always tight. All nine Los Ticos’ qualifiers to date either ended in a draw or were settled by the odd goal, while an average of 1.55 goals-per-game is the lowest figure in the CONCACAF region. Moreover, their record on the road is poor (D2 L2), as is their record versus the top-three (L3), whereas Mexico are notoriously strong in their own backyard.

Best Betting Odds – Mexico Vs Costa Rica

Mexico – 3/10
Draw – 7/2
Costa Rica – 9/1

(All odds shown provided by Betfair)