Milan vs Torino Betting Tip Milan To Win- 17th February 2020

Milan can grab a narrow win on home soil over Torino

Calhanoglu Esulta /Milan ©imago images / Independent Photo Agency 17.02.2020

ItalyMilan vs TorinoItaly
17th February 1945hrs
Football – Italy – Serie A
Pick Milan To Win
Bookmaker Betfair
Odds: 4/7 odds taken 2044 GMT, Sunday 16th January

AC Milan had a good run of unbeaten form snapped with a loss in their big derby against Inter last time out. So they will be looking for a response. They play host to Torino who are sitting beneath them in the table by five points, on Monday night.

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AC Milan get their form going again

In their last league match, AC Milan blew a 2-0 lead against rivals Inter in a fascinating derby match. Before that setback, AC Milan had gone unbeaten in five league games (W3 D2).

Still, that derby loss is only the second time Milan have been beaten in their last eleven league games. It has been a much better second half of the season for them.

They are wedged in midtable currently with a W3 D5 L3 record at the San Siro in Serie A. Each of those three wins happened against teams currently sitting inside of the bottom six. Monday’s opponents Torino, are seventh from bottom.

It is worth looking at a low scoring game. Only 36% of Milan’s home games this season have made it over 2.5 goals. Milan have averaged a goal per home game in the campaign and all three of their home wins have been by a 1 goal margin.

Extending that, eight of their nine league wins home and away this season have been earned by a 1 goal margin.

Our betting prediction:
Milan 1 Goal Winning Margin

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(odds taken 2044 GMT, Sunday 16th January)

Each of the last three meetings at the San Siro between Milan and Torino have been drawn, with each of those being level at both half time and full time.

AC Milan are currently on a five-match unbeaten streak of league home form, but they haven’t beaten Torino in any of their last six league meetings (D5 L2).


Slumping Torino may miss out on points again

Torino are on a four-match losing streak in Serie A. They have lost five of their last seven games. Their defence has really been going through a tough time as well recently, having shipped a total of sixteen goals in their last four league fixtures.

It’s been a bit of a hammering for them. Torino have conceded at least three goals in each of their last three games played.

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Their away record in the top flight this season is W4 D1 L6 and it has been back to back road losses for them.

While they haven’t done too bad in front of goal away from home, Torino have given up an average of 1.8 goals per away fixture in this league campaign.

Torino did get a home win over Milan earlier this season but then lost 4-2 on a Coppa Italia trip to the San Siro just back at the end of January.

Only one of the last five league meetings between these two have finished over 2.5 goals.


Milan vs Torino Betting Advice

Torino are wide open at the back and even though they are generally reliable enough to get on the scoresheet, three points may evade them in this fixture.


Key Facts – Milan vs Torino Betting Tip

  • Milan beat Torino 4-2 at the San Siro in a January cup meeting
  • Milan are unbeaten in five league home games
  • Torino are on a four-match losing streak


Milan’s form hasn’t been too bad recently and their recent blow out against title contenders Inter can be overlooked. Milan are not a prolific side in front of goal, so a 1 goal margin success for them looks about right.


The best betting odds for Milan vs Torino

Milan to win: 8/15 at Bet365
Draw: 3/1 at Bet365
Torino: 5/1 at Bet365