Munster vs Exeter Chiefs Rugby Betting Tip – Munster -4 handicap – 16th April 2022

Home form suggests Munster can overturn deficit against Exeter to win Heineken Cup tie

Stuart Hogg / Exeter Chiefs ©IMAGO/Shutterstock 04/16/2022

Ireland Munster vs Exeter Chiefs England
16th April 2022 – Kick Off 1500hrs
Rugby – England – European Champions Cup
Pick Munster -4 handicap
Bookmaker William Hill
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 19:42 GMT on April 14th, 2022

This heavyweight tie in the European Champions Cup Round of 16 between Exeter Chiefs and Munster is still nicely balanced.

Exeter are the ones with a slender advantage but now concede home advantage as they go to Thomond Park.

Munster have a strong home record against English teams and are favourite to win Saturday’s big clash.

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Munster Preview – Munster to secure the win?

Munster will not have been too disappointed about getting home with only a 5-point deficit to overturn.

They are the 8/15 odds-on favourites to win this match on Saturday* (odds recorded 19:42 GMT on April 14th, 2022 at William Hill).

It was an 8-13 loss that Munster left Sandy Park with last weekend.

That was the fourth loss for Munster in their last five matches in all tournaments so they haven’t been in top form recently.

But if you break that down to just home form, Munster are strong.

They had put together a ten-match winning streak at Thomond Park before losing to Leinster in their last United Rugby Championship match there.

At home this season in Europe, Munster have had one fixture.

In that, they destroyed English Premiership club Wasps 45-7.

Munster are clear favourites for this second leg and the Irish province have such a strong home record against English teams.

Our betting prediction:
Munster 1-5 winning margin

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* (odds recorded 19:42 GMT on April 14th, 2022 at William Hill)


Munster have won 26 of 29 home matches against Premiership opponents which is just tremendous.

In each of their last three home games against English oppositions, Munster haven’t conceded more than 7 points.

That shows the weight of the task ahead of Exeter on Saturday.

A Munster -4 handicap is at a quote of 10/11 in Heineken Cup rugby betting* (odds recorded 19:42 GMT on April 14th, 2022 at William Hill).

The Irish side have conceded an average of just 1.26 points per 22 entries in this year’s tournament, the best record of all teams.


Exeter Chiefs Preview – Can Exeter hold on?

Exeter Chiefs are going to need a massive defensive effort on the weekend to get through this.

But they have to also worry about putting points on the board as well.

In the match outright, Exeter are 11/8 underdogs* (odds recorded 19:42 GMT on April 14th, 2022 at William Hill).

Not only is this one of the toughest road games in Europe, but Exeter’s problems are also made worse by a lack of away form.

The Chiefs have lost four of their last six on the road between the Premiership and Heineken Cup.

In three of those six matches, Exeter failed to get more than 15 points on the board.

Given that none of the last three English visitors to Thomond Park have scored more than 7, Exeter are up against it.

Exeter Chiefs have also lost their last four road games in Ireland.

But things are not all doom and gloom, as Exeter have won five of their last six knockout games.

They probably would have been hoping for a slightly bigger margin to defend.

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Exeter Chiefs are level in the head to head with Munster in the Heineken Champions Cup.

It’s been one win each and a draw from their three previous meetings.

Interestingly in none of those three, did Munster score more than 10 points against Exeter.

Exeter’s one previous there ended in a 7-9 loss in 2019.

It’s going to be another long afternoon for Exeter on the weekend.


Munster vs Exeter Chiefs Betting Advice

After winning their last two home matches in the knockout stages of the Heineken Champions Cup, there have been wobbles from Munster.

They had won 9 of their previous 10 such matches, but they look the clear favourites here.

Munster’s powerful home record against English teams speaks for itself.

So the Munster -4 handicap is the pick at 10/11* (odds recorded 19:42 GMT on April 14th, 2022 at William Hill).


Key Facts – Munster vs Exeter Chiefs Betting Tip

  • Munster have won all but 3 of 29 home matches against Premiership opponents
  • Munster lost the first leg 13-8
  • Exeter Chiefs have lost their last four matches in Ireland


A five-point margin looks more than manageable enough for Munster to overcome to get through this tie.

They should win this match, regardless of the scoreboard.

The Munster 1-5 winning margin is at a quote of 9/2* (odds recorded 19:42 GMT on April 14th, 2022 at William Hill)


The best betting odds for Munster vs Exeter Chiefs

Munster to win: 8/15 at Bet365
Draw: 20/1 at Bet365
Exeter Chiefs to win: 11/8 at Bet365