Napoli vs Granada Betting Tip Home Win & BTTS – 25th February 2021

Napoli to fall short in overturning their tie against Granada

Stanislav Lobotka / Napoli ©IMAGO / ZUMA Wire 02/18/2021

Italy Napoli vs Granada Spain
25th February 1755hrs
Football – Italy – Europa League
Pick Home Win & BTTS
Bookmaker William Hill
Odds: 9/4 odds taken 20:00 GMT Tuesday, 23rd February

This is one of the earlier kick offs on Thursday night in the Europa League as Napoli look to mount a fightback.

Granada have the upper hand after a 2-0 home win in the first leg of this tie.

Will they be able to hang on in Italy and get the job done?

Bet at William Hill

 

Napoli Preview – Can Napoli fight back?

There is an uphill task ahead for Serie A side Napoli who are facing a 2-0 deficit in this tie.

Their form hasn’t been all that hot recently as they have lost four of their last five games in all competitions (W1).

Napoli have been struggling in defence as they have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five games.

In this season’s Europa League they have won three of their seven games played.

Only one of those three victories happened at home, which was against Rijeka in the group stage.

So there are clear problems here but Napoli are the 3/5 odds-on favourites in Europa League betting for this fixture* (odds recorded 20:00 GMT Tuesday, 23rd February).

It’s not unreasonable to expect them to be on top in this fixture as they are the ones who now have to do all of the pushing.

Napoli have only managed to win three of the 13 previous UEFA competition ties after having lost the first leg away from home.

Their overall record in the round of 32 is having progressed on three of the previous seven occasions.

Our betting prediction:
Napoli 1 Goal Winning Margin
13/5

Bet at William Hill

(odds recorded 20:00 GMT Tuesday, 23rd February)

 

Napoli hold a W16 D8 L5 record in their home games in the Europa League, which includes qualifying matches.

What does make even worse reading for Napoli so that they have lost six of their previous seven two-legged European ties against Spanish opposition.

They are also winless in their last five games at home against Spanish visitors.

We do expect Napoli to threaten the scoreboard, but we also see them conceding as they have not been sharp defensively.

Both teams to score is at a quote of even money* (odds recorded 20:00 GMT Tuesday, 23rd February).

 

Granada Preview – Can Granada hold out

So the La Liga side are in a commanding position in this tie now and can take a conservative approach.

They got their goals in their 2-0 success in three first-half minutes.

That was Granada’s first-ever fixture against an Italian side.

They are the 9/2 underdogs for this second leg as they are likely to come under a lot of pressure in the fixture* (odds recorded 20:00 GMT Tuesday, 23rd February).

But they are the favourites to qualify at the end of the day.

It has been just two wins for Granada in their last nine games in all competitions.

So they haven’t been running in particular hot form.

Away from home in all competitions, Granada have taken only two wins in their last nine as well.

The one thing that will be making them a little bit nervous is how many goals that they have been conceding.

They have in no way shape or form been water right.

Granada have one clean sheet in their last nine away games and have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five.

But they have been proficient, scoring in their last six road fixtures.

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Granada had to come through qualifying to reach the group stage of the Europa League this season.

In the group stage, they took a good W3 D2 L1 record away with them, winning two of their three away games at PSV Eindhoven and Omonia Nicosia.

This is the first season in UEFA competition that Granada have been in and that happened after having just been promoted to La Liga at the end of the 2019 domestic campaign.

With only this season’s efforts to go by Granada are undefeated in four away games in European action, conceding just the two goals.

 

Napoli vs Granada Betting Advice

We do expect Napoli to come out and try to overturn this deficit as Granada are not anything special in defence.

But then Napoli have fallen apart at the back as well recently.

So we put that together for a Napoli to win & Both Teams To Score option at 9/4* (odds recorded 20:00 GMT Tuesday, 23rd February).

 

Key Facts – Napoli vs Granada Betting Tip

  • Napoli trailed 2-0 after the first leg
  • Napoli have lost all but one of their seven previous two-legged ties against Spanish teams
  • Granada are in their debut European campaign

 

We would expect the visitors to hold and find a way to qualify for the next round here, but this is uncharted territory for them.

We can’t get past the home town in this one, but not by a big margin.

Napoli to win by a 1 goal margin at 13/5* (odds recorded 20:00 GMT Tuesday, 23rd February).

 

The best betting odds for Napoli vs Granada

Napoli to win: 3/5 at Bet365
Draw: 3/1 at Bet365
Granada to win: 9/2 at Bet365