Netherlands v Portugal Betting Tip Netherlands more corners- Sunday 17th June 2012

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Van Persie - Strootman

Netherlands v Portugal

The Netherlands are yet to get a point at these Championships but are still in with a chance of qualifying for the quarter finals. It may seem quite improbable but as witnessed with last night’s fixtures in Group A, anything can happen. Greece and the Czech Republic surprised world football with their results and subsequent qualification and the Dutch will be looking to do similar. After losing against Denmark and Germany in their first two matches they face Portugal knowing they need to win by two clear goals and hope Germany do the business against the Danes. It’s a big ask as they have looked very poor and disjointed for the majority of their games so they need to perform far better if they are to stand any chance. It looks likely that Mark Van Bommel and Ibrahim Afellay will miss out tonight in favour of Rafael Van Der Vaart and Klaus Jan Huntelaar. Arjen Robben will once again take his place which is a surprise to me because his selfishness and one dimensional approach to the games so far have been one of the major reasons the Dutch have underperformed.

Portugal done their best to throw away victory against Denmark on Wednesday after going 2-0 up only to concede twice before scoring in the dying embers of the game to rescue all three points and put their destiny in their own hands. Paulo Bento adopted completely different tactics to that of their opening game and were a lot more positive in their approach. It allowed the likes of Ronaldo and Nani to have more of an impact. Ronaldo is going into the third and final group goal still to open his own account for the tournament despite having two guilt edged chances against the Danes. His confidence, verging on arrogance, is obviously not going to suffer but it could mean he becomes more intent on scoring to the detriment of the team as a whole – as seen with Zlatan for Sweden on Friday. A draw could be enough to see the Portuguese through and that could mean they revert to sitting deeper, especially if Holland have to come out and get at least two goals. Portugal could set out to soak up the pressure and hit their opponents with pace on the break.

As with nearly every game Group B, there will be plenty of width on display. Ronaldo and Nani will stretch the Dutch defence when on the front foot whilst Robben and Van Persie are expected to be on the flanks for Holland.

Having looked at the over/under line for corners, the value is all but gone and the bookmakers have taken no chances. Instead, there is some value in Holland getting more corners. As low as 11/20 with one bookmaker, and a general 8/15 chance, there is one firm going EVENS and that’s the bet to go with here.

Holland to have more corners 2pts, Evens @ BetVictor  


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