Newcastle Falcons vs Bristol Bears
16th October 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Home Win
Bookmaker 888sport
Odds: Even Money odds taken 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021
Newcastle will be looking to defend home territory on Saturday in Premiership Rugby as they host Bristol Bears.
This is expected to be a tight duel at Kingston Park for them as well and the hosts may not be without a chance.
After topping the Premiership Rugby table last season, the Bristol Bears have had some big struggles out of the gate.
Table of Contents
Newcastle Falcons Preview – Falcons in with a chance
It has been an even won two and lost two recorded by the Newcastle Falcons this season in the Premiership.
They opened the season with a narrow home loss against reigning champions Harlequins.
Then they recorded back to back wins over Newcastle and Wasps, the latter at home.
Last weekend they found a trip to Saracens a little too much for them.
But this home match is well within their scope at the moment.
Newcastle are a quote of even money in the match outright for rugby betting* (odds recorded 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021).
There is a bit of home form behind the Falcons to suggest that they can get in this.
Newcastle have lost one of their last five Premiership home fixtures. That was their opener this season against Quins.
Newcastle have lost their last four league encounters with the Bears, however.
But if they can get their defensive side working well, they have a chance.
On the two occasions in this campaign that they have conceded fewer than 20 points, they have won.
On the two occasions they conceded more, they lost.
Defence is indeed the key for the Falcons.
It’s not too realistic to expect the Falcons to produce a win by a big margin at all.
Indeed, eight of the nine wins that they have recorded in the top flight since the start of last year, were all recorded with them conceding fewer than 20 points.
But a Newcastle 1-5 winning margin at a quote of 4/1 is of some interest for Premiership Rugby betting* (odds recorded 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021).
40% of their tries this season (a league-high) have been scored from a counterattack.
With Bristol struggling away from home, can the Falcons bag some valuable points?
Bristol Bears Preview – Bears not clicking
There has been one victory only for the Bristol Bears this season. That was a home win over rivals Bath at the start of the month.
After finishing top of the table in the previous campaign, the Bears have gone backwards.
There have been back to back road defeats for them in the Premiership.
There were heavy losses as well.
The Bears went down 44-8 at Wasps and then most recently suffered a 52-24 hammering against Harlequins away from home.
Still, in the match outright for rugby betting, the win for Bristol is at a quote of 4/5* (odds recorded 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021).
They have won their last two visits to Kingston Park, but have never before won three in a row there.
Given their current slump of away form, Bristol haven’t lost three in a row away from home since 2019.
That was when they lost 12 away games in a row.
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Bristol Bears do have the head to head form to suggest that they may not be rolled over.
They aren’t going to be facing a big scoring threat as they did at Harlequins in their last match.
Still, that 48 points conceded per away game on average this season is terrible.
To put that into context, they conceded an average of 20 per game last season.
A Bristol Bears -1 handicap is at a quote of 10/11 for Premiership Rugby betting on the weekend* (odds recorded 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021).
Newcastle Falcons vs Bristol Bears Betting Advice
The Bears are a little out of sorts at the moment and could be a little vulnerable for this visit to Kingston Park.
So the Newcastle to win option at even money is the pick in rugby betting* (odds recorded 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021).
If they can hold out defensively then the Falcons have a big chance here.
Key Facts – Newcastle Falcons vs Bristol Bears Betting Tip
- Newcastle Falcons have lost their last four against Bristol Bears
- Newcastle Falcons have suffered one defeat in their last five home league games
- Bristol Bears have won one of their last six matches
The number of points that Bristol have given up this season is already a bit alarming and it’s not as if they have been prolific themselves.
They do have the head to head form going over the Falcons, but that could be turned on its head on Saturday.
The Newcastle 1-5 winning margin at 4/1 could be in play* (odds recorded 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021).
The best betting odds for Newcastle Falcons vs Bristol Bears
Newcastle Falcons to win: Even money Bet365
Draw: 20/1 at Bet365
Bristol Bears to win: 4/5 at Bet365
