Newcastle Falcons vs Exeter Chiefs Rugby Betting Tip – Newcastle +5 handicap – 20th February 2022

Exeter to edge past Newcastle at Kingston Park

Adam Radwan / Newcastle Falcons ©IMAGO / Pro Sports Images 05.02.2022

England Newcastle Falcons vs Exeter Chiefs England
20th February 2022 – Kick Off 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Draw
Bookmaker Betfair
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 15:32 GMT on February 18th 2022

The Newcastle Falcons have been struggling a bit as it has been a fair while since they have claimed a league win.

Can they snap their slump on home turf on Sunday as they face the Exeter Chiefs?

They did pull off a surprise victory against them earlier this season.

The Chiefs managed to snap a three-match losing streak last weekend and need momentum to try and push towards the top four.

Bet at Betfair


Newcastle Falcons Preview – Can Falcons complete the double

Few would have expected Newcastle to come up with their 15-14 win at Sandy Park earlier this season.

That was in November and it was the last time that the Falcons claimed a league win.

In the match outright, the Falcons are the 15/8 underdogs* (odds recorded 15:32 GMT on February 18th 2022 at Betfair).

That is a six-match winless streak that they have been on since then in the league.

The Falcons are sitting on a W5 D1 L8 record this season in Premiership Rugby, leaving them second from bottom.

Never before have Newcastle completed a season double of the Chiefs.

They have won only one of their last five at home against Exeter as well.

So they look as if they are going to be up against it, as Newcastle have failed to pick up a win in any of their last three league home games (D1 L2).

Our betting prediction:
Exeter 1-7 winning margin

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* (odds recorded 15:32 GMT on February 18th 2022 at Betfair)


The last time that they suffered a longer winless run was in 2013/14 when they lost eight in a row.

Newcastle are the lowest point-scorers in this season’s Premiership with just 225 points.

No team has a worse success rate in goal kicking than Newcastle have either.

The Falcons are not a big scoring threat and a Falcons +6 handicap is at a quote of 10/11* (odds recorded 15:32 GMT on February 18th 2022 at Betfair).

None of their last three home matches against Exeter have been settled by a margin of more than eight points.

The Falcons have won just 2 of their last 13 against Exeter.


Exeter Chiefs Preview – Can Chiefs double up?

After a three-match losing streak, Exeter breathed a sigh of relief last weekend.

They came up with a 24-15 home win at Sandy Park against the in-form Gloucester.

So that was a very good and much-needed win for them.

In the match outright for rugby betting, Exeter are the 4/9 odds-on favourites* (odds recorded 15:32 GMT on February 18th 2022 at Betfair).

At the end of last weekend’s round of action, Exeter were sixth in the standings, two points outside the playoffs.

Surprisingly their scoring output has been well down this season.

They are the lowest-scoring team in the top ten, which means that only three teams have produced fewer.

So if the Devon club are going to get across the line and pick up a win at Kingston Park on the weekend, it probably won’t be a wide margin.

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Exeter Chiefs have a W8 L7 record for this season and the last time that they lost more than eight in a single season was in the 2014/15 campaign.

The Chiefs have averaged the second-fewest points per entry in the opposition 22 this season.

They haven’t been at the races in terms of their scoring output.

That’s an area in which they have been big powerhouses for so many seasons.

In just one of their last four away games in the Premiership, they have managed to get to 20 points on the board.

Everything about Sunday’s encounter looks as if it is going to be a tight scrap.

Most of Exeter’s international players are still away from the current squad.


Newcastle Falcons vs Exeter Chiefs Betting Advice

Exeter have only lost one of their last five against the Newcastle Falcons in Premiership rugby and will probably just about get there.

We expect a narrow margin in this one because Exeter are not at full strength.

The Newcastle +6 handicap looks to be the way to go at 10/11* (odds recorded 15:32 GMT on February 18th 2022 at Betfair).


Key Facts – Newcastle Falcons vs Exeter Chiefs Betting Tip

  • Newcastle Falcons have not won a completed match in the league since early November
  • Newcastle Falcons have won one of their last five against Exeter
  • Exeter Chiefs snapped a three-match losing streak with a victory last weekend


The other option for rugby betting odds is the Exeter 1-7 winning margin at 3/1* (odds recorded 15:32 GMT on February 18th 2022 at Betfair).

The Chiefs can take some heart from having beaten top-four side Gloucester last weekend.

There’s just not been enough to support a Newcastle home win here and they aren’t likely to threaten the scoreboard too much.


The best betting odds for Newcastle Falcons vs Exeter Chiefs

Newcastle Falcons to win: 12/1 at Bet365
Draw: 20/1 at Bet365
Exeter Chiefs to win: 10/11 at Bet365