Newcastle Falcons vs Northampton Saints
8th January 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Home Win
Bookmaker Unibet
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 21:03 GMT on January 6th, 2022
It has been a while since Newcastle Falcons were seen at home in Premiership Rugby action.
The Falcons haven’t played a league game at Kingston Park since being held to a draw there in late November by Worcester Warriors.
Will they be able to enjoy a successful return against the Northampton Saints who have slumped to back to back league defeats?
Table of Contents
Newcastle Falcons Preview – Home strengths for the Falcons
The Newcastle Falcons have suffered one home loss at Kingston Park in Premiership Rugby since April last year.
That one defeat was against reigning Premiership champions Harlequins on the opening weekend of this season.
Last weekend the Falcons paid a visit to the Leicester Tigers and came away empty-handed.
Empty-handed in fact as Newcastle failed to put a single point on the scoreboard in a 31-0 loss.
That was some heavy blow and perhaps indicative of a concerning trend.
That’s back to back league matches for Newcastle in which they have conceded more than 30 points.
But the bookmakers have them pegged as the 5/6 favourites in the match outright* (odds recorded 21:03 GMT on January 6th, 2022).
In the last Premiership home fixture that Newcastle played, they played out a thrilling 24-24 draw against Worcester.
They did then host the Warriors a couple of weeks later in the European Challenge Cup at Kingston Park and beat them convincingly.
The head to head form does speak favourably to Newcastle Falcons, as they have won seven of their last eight against the Saints.
That’s in Premiership fixtures only and it came after losing eleven straight against Northampton.
In their last five home matches against the Saints, Newcastle are W4 L1.
With a look at their current home form, Newcastle are undefeated in three home league matches (W2 D1).
The last time they put together a long home streak of undefeated form was in 2018 when they won five on the spin in the northeast.
A strong start could be so important for the Falcons.
No team has scored fewer second-half tries this season than the Falcons.
Northampton Saints Preview – Can the Saints shake off their slump?
The Saints are on the struggle bus at the moment in the Premiership, having lost their last two.
After a heavy loss at Twickenham against Harlequins in the “Big Game” in their final match of 2021, the Saints were beaten heavily last weekend.
They played hosts to Saracens and were on the wrong side of a 6-30 scoreline in that one.
If we look across all competitions, that’s a four-match losing streak the Saints are on.
In the match outright for Premiership Rugby betting, the Saints are even money underdogs* (odds recorded 21:03 GMT on January 6th, 2022).
Can they get themselves back on track?
That is questionable as the Saints are not a club that has very much momentum behind them at the moment.
They have lost eight of their last ten first-team matches in all competitions (W2).
The two victories in that sequence were back to back league wins against Bristol and Bath when things were looking on the up.
On Saturday, the Saints will be looking for their third away win of the season.
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Northampton Saints collected wins at Exeter and Bristol this season, leaving them with a W2 L4 away record in this campaign.
There is one huge positive for them and that is from their record away at Newcastle Falcons.
Northampton have won nine games at Newcaastle in total in Premiership action.
They’ve only recorded more league away wins against three other clubs.
But then that gets flipped on its head a bit as they have won only one of their last five visits to Kingston Park.
Understandably the handicap line is pretty narrow on this one.
A Saints +2 handicap is at a quote of 10/11* (odds recorded 21:03 GMT on January 6th, 2022).
Newcastle Falcons vs Northampton Saints Betting Advice
Which way is this likely to go? It’s a clash between two teams who should be doing a little bit better.
It’s the home preference that is going to swing us towards Newcastle, even though they had their major misfire at Leicester Tigers last weekend.
The Falcons do have a good home record and that’s enough at 10/11 to support them for the win* (odds recorded 21:03 GMT on January 6th, 2022).
Key Facts – Newcastle Falcons vs Northampton Saints Betting Tip
- Newcastle Falcons have won 7 of their last 8 against the Saints in the league
- Newcastle Falcons have lost one home match since April last year in the Premiership
- Northampton Saints are on a four match losing streak in all tournaments
Northampton have a W6 L5 record this season in the league, which is one more win than Newcastle have on the board.
But their current form has dipped and they look an unreliable outfit away from home at the moment.
The Saints have conceded at least 25 points in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
The Newcastle 1-7 winning margin is the other pick at 11/4* (odds recorded 21:03 GMT on January 6th, 2022).
The best betting odds for Newcastle Falcons vs Northampton Saints
Newcastle Falcons to win: 5/6 at Bet365
Draw: 20/1 at Bet365
Northampton Saints to win: Even Money at Bet365
