Newcastle Falcons vs Wasps
19th March 19.45hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Draw
Bookmaker Unibet
Odds: 5/6 odds taken 04:20 GMT, March 18th, 2021
Friday’s Premiership rugby betting looks at the action from Kingston Park as Newcastle play host to Wasps.
The outright market looks pretty tight as well with noting much splitting the pair.
Both have been struggling for wins in recent league action, so there will be a welcome four points on offer for one of the two sides to grab.
It is Wasps who are lining up as the narrow favourites away from home.
Table of Contents
Newcastle Falcons Preview – Can the Falcons pick up their form?
There was a 19-38 home defeat for Newcastle Falcons last weekend in the Premiership, at the hands of Bath.
That leaves the Falcons with a W1 L4 record in their last five league outings.
The one win in that sequence did happen at Kingston Park, a narrow three-point margin win over Harlequins.
In the match outright for Premiership rugby betting, the win for Newcastle is at even money* (odds taken 04:20 GMT, March 18th, 2021).
Just to look at their long term form, their win over Harlequins in Round 11 is the only victory that they have taken in the Premiership since early January.
So it’s been tough times for them.
They are currently sat on a W6 L7 record for the season, with cancelled fixture adjustments taken into consideration.
From their 10 matches played the Newcastle Falcons are W5 L5.
Only bottom side Worcester have produced fewer points in matches this season than the Falcons have done.
Newcastle average 19 points per game in this campaign.
From their home fixtures played so far, Newcastle are W3 L2, the losses happening against Exeter Chiefs and Bath.
Now for a look at head to head form for Newcastle v Wasps and the Falcons have won their last two against the West Midlands side.
That has really been a turnaround in results, as Newcastlehad been on an eleven match winless streak of form against Wasps before that.
However, Newcastle are without a victory in any of their last six home games against Wasps.
A Newcastle +1 handicap is at 10/11 in rugby betting, just to highlight how tight of a game this expected to be* (odds taken 04:20 GMT, March 18th, 2021).
One big positive for Newcastle Falcons this season has been how well organised they have been in defence.
But will they have the attacking threat to pick off Wasps?
Only in one of their last four league games have Newcastle managed more than 19 points in a match.
Wasps Preview – Can Wasps grab the away win?
There have been big struggles with form lately for Wasps as well in the Premiership.
They have claimed only one win since early January, which was a narrow success at bottom side Worcester in round 9.
It has been back to back away defeats for them now in the top flight.
The last time that Wasps lost three straight away games in Premiership rugby was back in November 2019.
In the match outright for Premiership rugby betting, Wasps are a quote of 5/6 to get the win* (odds taken 04:20 GMT, March 18th, 2021).
To be fair, last weekend Wasps did have a tough game on their hands.
They paid a visit to Ashton Gate to face table-toppers Bristol Bears and Wasps were unravelled 37-20 in defeat in that one.
However, two of their last three league losses have been disappointing home reverses against London Irish and Gloucester.
So there is a problem there.
In none of their last five league matches have Wasps managed to score more than 20 points in a fixture.
So they are not firing as an attacking unit either.
But in looking at their stats, they are averaging 21 points per league fixture in this campaign, slightly better than the Falcons.
Will that give the visitors the edge on Friday night in what should be a tight war of attrition?
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The Wasps -1 handicap line is at even money, not an unreasonable option to back them to win* (odds taken 04:20 GMT, March 18th, 2021).
In their league away fixtures, this season Wasps have taken a W3 L3 record.
Their wins were against Bath, Sale and Worcester, the defeat against Gloucester, Bristol and Leicester.
So it really has been an unpredictable mixed bag from them. But it’s their wins that we are interested in.
None of them have been by a margin of more than eight points.
So we think that there could be a bit of value in pushing for a Wasps 1-7 winning margin at 13/5* (odds taken 04:20 GMT, March 18th, 2021).
Newcastle Falcons vs Wasps Betting Advice
We expect nothing less than a scrappy, tight game at Kingston Park. Neither are likely to cut loose on the scoreboard.
But at the moment it is Wasps who just look the more likely of the two to get the victory.
That’s by courtesy of having a slightly better scoring output and a Wasps 1-7 winning margin at 13/5 is right on the money as a pick* (odds taken 04:20 GMT, March 18th, 2021).
Key Facts – Newcastle Falcons vs Wasps Betting Tip
- Newcastle Falcons have won their last two matches against Wasps
- Newcastle Falcons and Wasps are both W1 L4 in their last five league games respectively
- Wasps are unbeaten in their last six visits to Newcastle
Our other rugby betting tip is going to be to push for that even money quote on a Wasps -1 handicap* (odds taken 04:20 GMT, March 18th, 2021).
That’s a little extra value compared to the match outright for little risk in pushing that line, if you are expecting a Wasps victory.
Newcastle can dig and defend resolutely, but that was a heavy home loss against Bath last weekend and the cracks could be there for Wasps to exploit.
The best betting odds for Newcastle Falcons vs Wasps
Newcastle Falcons to win: Even money at Bet365
Draw: 20/1 at Bet365
Wasps to win: 5/6 at Bet365
