Newcastle Falcons vs Worcester Warriors
26th November 1945hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Worcester Warriors +12 handicap
Bookmaker Betfred
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 17:16 GMT on November 24th, 2021
The Falcons sprung a huge surprise in their last Premiership Rugby fixture as they went to Sandy Park and beat Exeter.
That was a fantastic result for them as they improved their record for the season to W4 L3 in the top flight.
They will be looking to extend that form on Friday as they welcome the Warriors who fell back into losing ways last time out in action.
Table of Contents
Newcastle Falcons Preview – Can Falcons soar again?
This has been a season of defying some expectations for the Newcastle Falcons in the Premiership.
They sat on a W4 L3 record for this campaign after pulling out an impressive win at Exeter in the last round.
The Falcons went to Sandy Park and left with a victory by a single point margin.
It is back to home turf for them on Friday night as they look to make it three straight league wins at Kingston Park.
The Falcons have beaten Wasps and Bristol there this season, moving on to a W2 L1 home record for the campaign in Premiership Rugby.
Newcastle Falcons are the 1/4 odds-on favourites in rugby betting to land the win in this one* (odds recorded 17:16 GMT on November 24th, 2021)
There hasn’t been a try-scoring bonus earned by Newcastle this season.
They aren’t the most expensive of teams, playing a lot of well-organised defence.
So the handicap is probably going to be nothing too wide for this one, as the Falcons look for their third straight win over the Warriors.
Newcastle Falcons have won their last four home games at Kingston Park against the Warriors.
Home and away they have won their last three, so this looks like a good opportunity for the northeast side to get back on track.
That is, incidentally, Newcastle’s longest winning streak was recorded against the Warriors.
Newcastle have conceded fewer first-half points in this season’s Premiership than any other team.
They also have not conceded a try from a scrum, only one of two teams to have achieved that in this campaign.
There is a 10/11 quote in rugby betting on a Newcastle -11 handicap* (odds recorded 17:16 GMT on November 24th, 2021)
Worcester Warriors Preview – Can Warriors cause an upset?
Worcester Warriors are W2 L6 so far in this season’s Premiership Rugby campaign.
They have, as things stand, conceded more points than any other team in the division has done.
The last time that they took a win was on home turf against Sale Sharks in late October.
That is the only win that they have taken in the last seven rounds.
Worcester had opened the season with a home win over London Irish.
In the match outright for rugby betting, Worcester are a quote of 3/1 to land the goods* (odds recorded 17:16 GMT on November 24th, 2021).
That’s not looking too likely for them, however, not looking at their away form in the Premiership.
The last time that they won a league fixture away from Sixways was in October last year.
That’s a mammoth fifteen match losing streak on their travels in the top flight now that the Warriors are currently riding.
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Worcester Warriors have won only two of their last 26 Premiership matches (L24) so it’s hard to get up enough to back them for the win.
Only once in their last four visits to Newcastle in the league have Worcester gotten within a margin of 10 points of their conquerors.
Bath are the only side to have scored fewer points in this campaign than Worcester have, but the Warriors have played a game more than they have.
The Warriors coming away from Kingston Park with a victory doesn’t look too plausible.
A Warrior’s +12 handicap though at 10/11 does pique some interest* (odds recorded 17:16 GMT on November 24th, 2021).
Newcastle Falcons vs Worcester Warriors Betting Advice
The Newcastle Falcons have had a good season and with some decent form at Kingston Park will probably take this.
Their confidence should be high after winning at Exeter in the last round.
As the Falcons aren’t a particularly loaded team in terms of offence, we see plenty in the Warriors +12 handicap* (odds recorded 17:16 GMT on November 24th, 2021).
Key Facts – Newcastle Falcons vs Worcester Warriors Betting Tip
- Newcastle Falcons have won their last three against Worcester
- Newcastle Falcons have won their last two home league games
- Worcester Warriors have lost their last 15 Premiership Rugby away games
The Warriors are on that painful 15 matches losing streak on their travels but have not been played out of sight in any of their last three trips to Newcastle.
So the other selection that we are naturally going for is the Falcons 1-10 winning margin at 23/10* (odds recorded 17:16 GMT on November 24th, 2021).
This should end up being a home win for Newcastle, but a good competitive game should unfold nonetheless.
The best betting odds for Newcastle Falcons vs Worcester Warriors
Newcastle Falcons to win: 1/4 at Bet365
Draw: 28/1 at Bet365
Worcester Warriors to win: 3/1 at Bet365
