North Queensland Cowboys vs Sydney Roosters
9th July 1050hrs
Rugby League – Australia – NRL
Pick Cowboys +8 handicap
Bookmaker Bet365
Odds: 13/8 odds taken 23:04 GMT Tuesday 7th July
It’s back to NRL betting action as North Queensland Cowboys vs Sydney Roosters starts round nine of action. This should be a humdinger of a fixture as well to get stuck into.
The Roosters came up short last weekend in a narrow loss, which broke some fantastic winning momentum that they had going for them.
But the Cowboys found themselves on the end of an absolute hiding as they found the table-topping Eels far too hot to handle. Will they fare better against the Rooster?
Table of Contents
North Queensland Cowboys Preview – Cowboys hit more problems
Four losses in their last five fixtures is where the North Queensland Cowboys are currently at in their NRL form.
Last weekend they had a tough game on their hands against the Parramatta Eels and they were smashed 4-42.
That was some blow for them but that has been a significant trend with their results.
The Cowboys have now conceded at least 36 points in three of their last four fixtures
They are currently sat down in the bottom half of the ladder with a W3 L5 record on the board now.
Consistency seems to be a long way off for them.
Going back to the amount of points that they have conceded in matches, only two teams have shipped more than the Cowboy have done.
It has been an average of 26 points per game against them this season, which is pretty high.
Especially when you take into consideration that the Roosters have conceded 12 points per game on average only.
The average loss for the Cowboys this season in the NRL has been by a margin of 16.4 points.
So we can just straight to the handicap markets where a Cowboys +12 may be worth pushing at 23/20 opposed to the -12 bolder option on the Roosters for odds-on* (betting odds taken from bet365 at 23:53 GMT on Tuesday, 7th of July 2020).
The reasoning there is that the Cowboys pushed the Roosters close in both meetings last season.
Another factor is that the Roosters could be a little more cautious after suffering their first loss in a while last weekend.
Either way we cut this however, we can see the Cowboys struggling to get the win in Townsville.
Sydney Roosters Preview – Can injury-hit Roosters respond
Another factor for North Queensland Cowboys vs Sydney Roosters betting is the injuries that have stacked up for the Roosters.
They are the reigning Premiership champions, but they have now lost Daniel Tupou along with skipper Boyd Cordner.
There is a long list on the sidelines for the Roosters who are having to reshuffle.
Last weekend the Roosters had their five match winning streak snapped as they narrowly lost to the Melbourne Storm.
The Sydney side will be kicking themselves over the way that it went down as well, as they were 22-12 ahead going into the final ten minutes of the fixture.
But they let it slip to lose by a two-point margin in extra time. So that was a setback which leaves them at W5 L3 for the season.
The Roosters are the top-scoring side in this season’s NRL by a fair margin with a tally of 226.
It has been an average of 28 points per game from them in this campaign.
But as we alluded to earlier, it has not just been about their offensive power.
Only the current ladder leaders the Parramatta Eels have conceded more points than the Roosters have done in this campaign.
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The head to head between the Cowboys and Roosters is interesting. Sydney have won three of the last five meetings and five of the last nine.
So there really isn’t all that much to choose between them. They have alternated win in their last four meetings.
Going back to expecting a tighter line in the handicap, none of the last four meetings have seen a final margin of more than six points occur.
North Queensland Cowboys vs Sydney Roosters Betting Advice
We fully think that we can tighten the handicap line a bit on this one.
If you fancied tightening that line then a Cowboys +8 is at 13/8* (betting odds taken from bet365 at 23:53 GMT on Tuesday, 7th of July 2020)
Key Facts – North Queensland Cowboys vs Sydney Roosters Betting Tip
- North Queensland Cowboys have lost four of their last five
- North Queensland Cowboys have conceded at least 35 points in 3 of their last 4 games
- Sydney Roosters had a 5 match winning streak snapped last weekend
The recent head to heads have all been within that margin and we are taking into consideration the injury issues for the stronger Roosters ahead of this fixture.
Yes the floodgates have been open for the Cowboys in their recent matches, but their scoring hasn’t been all that bad.
So with that in mind we expect this to be tighter than the bookies are imaging it is going to be, but still a win for the Roosters looks more likely on form.
The best betting odds for North Queensland Cowboys vs Sydney Roosters
North Queensland Cowboys to win: 18/5 at Bet365
Draw: 25/1 at Bet365
Sydney Roosters to win: 18/5 at Bet365
