Oxford vs Shrewsbury
13th April 1900hrs
Football – England – League One
Pick Home win
Bookmaker William Hill
Odds: 17/20 odds taken 2038 GMT, April 11th
Oxford still have a shot at the playoff places in League One if they can build some momentum.
They claimed a win on the weekend which left them four points outside of the top six.
So the U’s have plenty to play for. Shrewsbury arrive in some decent enough form as they look to try and claw their way up towards mid-table.
Table of Contents
Oxford Preview – Can U’s build momentum
The form of Oxford recently hasn’t been all that great with them having suffered five defeats in their last eight (W3).
They have gone W2 L2 in their last four home turf as well, leaving them W9 D4 L6 at home for the campaign.
For Tuesday’s night’s fixture against Shrewsbury, Oxford are 17/20 odds-on favourites for football betting* (odds recorded 2038 GMT, April 11th).
Of the six home losses that Oxford have suffered this season, three of them have been against teams in the current top five.
But looking at their home form against teams currently 16th or lower, the U’s are W5 D1.
So that is the stats which does suggest that there are points on offer for them in this fixture.
A big positive for them is that their defence at home has been good this season.
Oxford have conceded an average of under a goal per fixture for the campaign.
This is their first meeting with Shrewsbury this season.
Oxford are undefeated in their last four home games against the Shrews, winning two of those.
In their last four home fixtures against Shrewsbury, Oxford have conceded just one goal.
So for League One betting, an Oxford to win to nil option is at 15/8* (odds recorded 2038 GMT, April 11th).
The U’s have earned a clean sheet in 42% of their home fixtures for the campaign.
Another trend with their home games is the half time draw.
Oxford have been level at the break at home in 11 of their 19 games.
After collecting a thumping 6-0 win at Crewe on the weekend, a big return to form for Oxford, there are only three teams who have scored more in this division than Oxford have.
Shrewsbury Preview – Can the Shrews deny Oxford?
Shrewsbury are down in the bottom half of the table and have a fair amount of work to do to get to mid-table.
But their recent form hasn’t been all that bad, losing only two of their last eight played (W3 D3).
On the weekend they paid a visit to Gillingham and played out a 0-0 draw there.
That leaves them with a W2 D2 L1 record in their last five away games in League One.
In the match outright for Tuesday night’s fixtures, Shrewsbury are 16/5 to get the victory* (odds recorded 2038 GMT, April 11th).
This season they have claimed three away wins against teams currently in the top half of the table.
That includes a victory at leaders Hull.
But the Shrews are averaging under a goal per away game this season, so there hasn’t been enough consistent output in front of goal.
Also, they have conceded under a goal per away game as well.
So with that in mind for football betting, we are going to look at under 2.5 goals at 4/6 as an option* (odds recorded 2038 GMT, April 11th).
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Shrewsbury have failed to hit the back of the net in their last two fixtures played now away from home.
Five of their six away defeats have happened by a single-goal margin. Also, 6 of their 7 away wins have been by a single-goal margin as well.
So this is likely to be a very tight game.
We think that the half time draw is well worth a play at 11/10* (odds recorded 2038 GMT, April 11th).
Shrewsbury have been level at the break in 9 away games this season.
Of the goals that they have conceded on their travels, 63% have been conceded in the second half of fixtures.
There are only four teams in the league who have scored fewer goals than they have this season, that could be their downfall.
Oxford vs Shrewsbury Betting Advice
We are going with the home win in this fixture, but only a narrow one. Oxford have been struggling a little for form.
But their romp on the weekend should have given them renewed confidence and we expect them to take the three points.
But we think that they only get this done in the second half, so the half time draw at 11/10 is our football betting pick* (odds recorded 2038 GMT, April 11th).
Key Facts – Oxford vs Shrewsbury Betting Tip
- Oxford are undefeated in four at home against Shrewsbury
- Oxford beat Crewe 6-0 on the weekend
- Shrewsbury have failed to score in their last two away games
There just hasn’t quite been enough in front of goal from Shrewsbury for us to see them avoiding default in this one.
But they are certainly good enough in defence to avoid a heavy loss.
So the Oxford 1 goal winning margin is going to be our extended-odds play at 5/2* (odds recorded 2038 GMT, April 11th).
The best betting odds for Oxford vs Shrewsbury
Oxford to win: 17/20 at Bet365
Draw: 5/2 at Bet365
Shrewsbury to win: 16/5 at Bet365
