Poland v Czech Republic Betting Tip Poland – Saturday 16th June 2012

Robert Lewandowski (Poland)

Poland v Czech Republic

It’s all or nothing for the host nation as they need to win in order to progress through to the last eight of the competition. I thought they showed a lot more maturity in the match against Russia than they did in the opening game against Greece. Their level of performance was more consistent across the whole of the match and as they were playing against a better quality side they can take a lot of positive’s into their final group game. Ludovic Obraniak was excellent on Tuesday night and provided real width which was a threat all game long. It stretched the Russians across the pitch and his diagonal runs into the box yielded plenty of opportunities. The Czech’s have had several problems with their fullbacks and the Lille midfielder could exploit them if turning in a similar performance on Saturday night.

Regular readers may say I have been harsh when previewing the Czech Republic’s games thus far. I rightly predicted Russia to be too strong but sided with the Greeks only to see that blown away in the opening minutes of the match on Tuesday. It could be argued that the Czech’s were better than I had anticipated and were worthy winners. However, although they probably just edged the game I think it was more a case of Greece being diabolical at the back and gifting the game on a plate to their opponents. The Czech’s still have glaring deficiencies all over the park and I firmly believe they are there for the taking on Saturday. Petr Cech is in nothing like the form he finished the season with Chelsea and has been at fault for at least two goals already. It’s even more of a reason to believe that this match can go the host’s way.

As ever with games where there is so much pressure and intensity involved the first goal could prove to be crucial. The Polish players have to control their emotions as they are bound to be nervous before the match but as in the first game, they need to be able to use that force of energy to their advantage.

The Czech’s are fragile at the back and it remains to be seen how they will approach this game as a draw is, in all likelihood, going to be enough. That could be the element of doubt that could hinder them.

Poland were my ante-post bet to go through to the Quarters and I don’t feel like deserting them now.

Poland 2pts, 13/10 PaddyPower

*At the end of the second round of matches the blog is sitting at 26.87 pts. (Level stakes profit of 4.53 for a £1 stake)

Visit Bet365