Real Madrid Vs Atalanta Betting Tip: Atalanta or Draw – 16 March 2021

Goals in Spain as Italians seek to overturn deficit

Spain Real Madrid Vs Atalanta Italy

Tuesday 16th March 2021 – 20:00 (BT Sport)
UEFA Champions League, Round of 16
Pick: Atalanta Win or Draw
Odds: 4/5
Bookmaker: 888Sport
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 14th March 2021)

Preview: There is a sense this tie is far from over as Real Madrid go about defending a 1-0 scoreline from the first-leg against this dangerous Atalanta side, the Italians seeking to maintain their 100% away record in this season’s competition.

UEFA Champions League Betting at Bet365


Real Madrid – Zidane guarding against complacency?

The most decorated club in the history of this competition appear to have one foot in the last-eight courtesy of Ferland Mendy’s first goal in UEFA club competition, the marauding full-back sealing a 1-0 win in Italy. However, if any team can identify the potential pitfalls of holding a slender advantage at this stage, it is this Real Madrid side, who are targeting a first quarter-final appearance in three seasons.

Los Blancos held a 2-1 lead at half-time of their tie with Ajax in 2017-18, only to lose the return leg 4-1 in Spain, while last season Man City defeated them 2-1 home and away. This after reaching at least the semi-final in eight successive seasons. So, although they are heavy favourites to progress, nothing can be taken for granted. Even if their recent form on the whole has been very encouraging.

Saturday’s come-from-behind win at home to Elche stretched their unbeaten run in all competitions to eight (W6), as they continue to inch closer to La Liga leaders Atletico Madrid. Moreover, their recent record versus Italian opposition is formidable, boasting 11 wins from the past 12 such meetings. This includes home (3-2) and away (0-2) victories over current Serie A leaders Inter Milan in this season’s group stage.


Atalanta Win To Nil



Atalanta – La Dea capable of memorable away day?

Following a 1-0 defeat in Italy in the first-leg, Atalanta understand the gravity of the situation ahead of the return fixture in Spain. Speaking after the game, in which his team played the majority a man down, head coach Gian Piero Gasperini summed up the task at hand succinctly. “We just have to win in Madrid. We can’t overthink, we just have one option.” Fortunately, his team have form for such a scenario unfolding.

All three Atalanta victories in this season’s group stage came away, with wins at Ajax and Midtjylland – the respective champions from the Netherlands and Denmark – complementing a memorable 2-0 triumph in England against the winners of this tournament two seasons ago, Liverpool. They have won each of the last five away European games (excluding neutral venues), and eight of the past twelve (D1 L3).

Such a dependable record on the road bodes well for their chances of turning this tie around, yet isn’t exclusive to this competition. Atalanta recently went 13 competitive away matches without defeat (W8 D5), a run featuring eight clean sheets and six wins to nil, before succumbing narrowly at Serie A leaders Inter on 8 March. The response thereafter was emphatic, though, easing past Spezia 3-1 on Friday night.

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Real Madrid Vs Atalanta Betting Advice

Real Madrid deservedly won the first-leg (xG: ATA 0.15 – 1.72 RMA). However, their victory, against the ten men of Atalanta, looked in doubt until a late winner from an unlikely source. That made it three wins in as many games versus Italian sides this season having beaten Inter home and away in the group stage, although an Atalanta side boasting wins at Ajax and Liverpool remain a dangerous proposition.


Real Madrid Vs Atalanta – Key Facts:

  • The first-leg in Bergamo, Italy marked a first competitive meeting between these clubs. Real Madrid securing a 1-0 victory after Atalanta were reduced to ten men early on.
  • Real Madrid boast a 100% record versus Italian opposition in Europe this term, having also beaten Serie A leaders Inter Milan home and away in Group B.
  • Atalanta have failed to win all four European home games this season (D2 L2), however, the Serie A outfit boast four wins from as many away matches thus far.


Since that opening encounter between the sides, Real Madrid have laboured to one win and two draws, conceding the first goal each time. Meanwhile, Atalanta boast three wins and one loss (that a harsh 1-0 reverse at Serie A leaders Inter Milan) not to mention an excellent record on the road comprising just one defeat in their past 14 competitive away matches. I therefore feel the Italians are too big a price to secure another positive away result.

Best Betting Odds – Real Madrid Vs Atalanta

Real Madrid – 21/20 (PaddyPower)
Draw – 12/5 (BetFred)
Atalanta – 27/10 (BetVictor)