Real Madrid vs Man City Betting Tip: Man City or Draw/Under 3.5 Goals – 4 May 2022

Classy City can complete the job in Madrid?

Real Madrid / Spain ©IMAGO / CordonPress 30.04.2022

Spain Real Madrid vs Manchester City England

Wednesday 4 May, 2022 – 20:00 (BST)
UEFA Champions League (semi-final)
Pick: Man City or Draw/Under 3.5 Goals
Odds: 11/10
Bookmaker: Betfair
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 2 April 2022)

Preview: This semi-final is tantalising poised after the team’s traded seven goals in one of the competition’s greatest ever contests. It is advantage Man City, though, whose 4-3 victory in Manchester means the onus to go on the offensive rests squarely at Real Madrid‘s door.

UEFA Champions League Betting at Betfair


Real Madrid – Benzema to lead the comeback in Madrid?

In between an unforgettable first-leg and the return in Madrid, Los Blancos were officially crowned Spanish league champions for a record 35th time following a 4-0 victory at home to Espanyol. Any celebrations will have been brief, however, as they quickly turn their attentions to a semi-final in which they trail 4-3. For the record, Real Madrid have never reached the final after losing the first leg on all eight instances.

Carlo Ancelotti and his players will have to set the record straight on Wednesday then. But with arguably the world’s best centre forward right now in their ranks, few would bet against them. Karim Benzema took his tally in this season’s competition to 14 with his first-leg brace, nine coming in the knockouts, and will be aiming to fire his team to a fourth win in this their seventh Champions League home game of 2021-22 (L2).

Key Stat: Real Madrid have won seven of their past ten Champions League home games (D1 L2) but only one of their last four versus English sides (D2 L2).


Man City To Keep A Clean Sheet



Manchester City – Successive UCL final appearances beckons?

“We’re going to Madrid to try and win the game.” Speaking immediately after his side’s pulsating victory in Manchester a week ago, Man City manager Pep Guardiola went to little effort to disguise his team’s intention in the return leg. However, his animated reaction throughout the Eithad contest told the story of someone who knows how costly all those missed chances to add to a one-goal aggregate lead could come to be.

Man City were the aggressors in England, taking a two-goal lead on three occasions but ultimately forced to settle for one. Both their record on the road in this season’s competition – winning just two of five said encounters (D1 L2), with losses against PSG and RB Leipzig – and in Spain on the whole, with three wins accrued from twelve prior visits (D2 L7), suggests it could prove a fragile advantage indeed.

Key Stat: Prior to conceding three at home to Real Madrid in the first-leg, Manchester City had recorded a clean sheet in all four of their Champions League knockout matches this season.

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Real Madrid Vs Manchester City Betting Advice

Both managers rotated their starting XI’s from those that begun the contest in England. Recharged and refreshed, we should be set for another enthralling encounter this time on Spanish soil. The onus will be on the hosts, then, to show more initiative, having been second best for large spells of the first clash. Yet Chelsea, 17 points worse off than Man City in the Premier League, came here and won 3-1 in the last round.


Real Madrid Vs Manchester City – Key Facts:

  • Never before has Real Madrid overturned a Champions League semi-final after losing the first leg, failing to reach the final on all eight occasions this has happened.
  • Real Madrid boast a record of W3 L2 in home European games this season, which is slightly more favourable than the W2 D1 L2 of Man City away from home.
  • The English side are yet to be beaten, or concede a goal, on their travels in this season’s knockouts, though, winning five successive away matches in the Champions League knockouts before a 0-0 draw at Atletico Madrid in the last round.


Although they were breached three times at home, four clean sheets in four prior knockout round matches – including in a goalless draw here in Madrid versus Atletico Madrid – is evidence of how impregnable this Man City rearguard can be. So I am slightly wary this could be anti-climatic should the visitors want it to be. With that in mind, I am happy to take the 11/10 about Man City or Draw/Under 3.5 Goals.

Best Betting Odds – Real Madrid Vs Manchester City

Real Madrid – 11/5 (PaddyPower)
Draw – 3/1 (Bet365)
Manchester City – 11/10 (Coral)