Rotherham vs Wycombe
5th April 1500hrs
Football – England – Championship
Pick Rotherham to win
Bookmaker Betfred
Odds: 5/6 odds taken 023:41 GMT, April 4th 2021
This is a basement battle in the Championship as two of the current bottom three go head to head at the New York Stadium.
Rotherham have a fighting chance at survival as they have plenty of games in hand.
So there are a big three points on offer for them at home as they face bottom side Wycombe.
Can the Millers make the most of this opportunity?
Table of Contents
Rotherham Preview – Big chance for the Millers
Rotherham are third from the bottom in the Championship and they are four points from safety.
But they have three games in hand over Coventry City, who they are trying to catch to get safe.
Given that they are taking on the bottom side in the division, Rotherham go into the game as 4/5 odds-on favourites* (odds recorded 023:41 GMT, April 4th 2021).
On Friday the Millers lost 1-0 away at Millwall and that was their sixth defeat in their last eight matches (W2).
Of the two wins that they did manage in that sequence, both away from home.
Rotherham have lost their last four league games at home. But still, this does represent a good opportunity for them.
The Millers have produced a W4 D3 L10 home record this season in the Championship.
If they get all three points on the board, we would not expect it to be a romp. These are two low-scoring teams.
So a Rotherham to win by a 1 goal margin is 11/4 for football betting* (odds recorded 023:41 GMT, April 4th 2021).
That looks like a reasonable enough proposition.
Earlier this season Rotherham earned a 1-0 win at Wycombe.
On home turf in the Championship, Rotherham have won one of their last eight (D1 L6).
So that doesn’t make for very good reading at all. But they have failed to score in just two of their last eight on home turf.
So we think that there is enough in this for them. It could be quite the defining match in their survival bid.
Notably, Rotherham are W3 D1 in their four home games played against teams in the bottom eight.
So they should be able to hold their own.
Wycombe Preview – Can the Chairboys get the points?
If Wycombe were to go out and find a way to win this fixture, they would move to within two points of Rotherham.
However, they have played four fixtures more than the Millers have done this season.
Wycombe earned a good home win over Blackburn on Friday and that was their second victory in their last four.
Both of those wins happened on home turf. They have had a tough time on the road.
In their last away game, Wycombe did play out a 0-0 draw at Coventry, who are fourth from bottom.
But the Chairboys are winless in five games on the road (D2 L3).
In that sequence, they have not managed a single goal.
In the match outright for Championship betting, Wycombe are 27/10 for the victory* (odds recorded 023:41 GMT, April 4th 2021).
That looks like a bit of a tall order as they have won just two road fixtures all season in the division.
In their last eleven away games, Wycombe are W1 D2 L8. So it is hard to see how they are going to get to three points.
They have produced an average of just 0.7 goals per away game this season.
Little surprise really that they boast the worst away record in the division, only one point worse than Coventry.
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Wycombe have taken a W2 D3 L1 record in their away games played against teams down in the bottom seven with them.
So that’s not actually a bad return.
But this is a big drought in front of the goal that they are away from home.
The Chairboys have failed to score in 49% of away games this season.
Home and away combined, they had the worst offence in the league as well as the worst defensive record.
Under 2.5 goals is at 10/11 for football betting* (odds recorded 023:41 GMT, April 4th 2021).
Each of Wycombe’s last five away games have gone under the goal line.
Rotherham vs Wycombe Betting Advice
We don’t see where the goal-scoring threat from Wycombe is going to come from to help them towards three points.
They have been struggling badly in front of goal away from home recently.
So the home win in this fixture has to be the way to go at 4/5 in Championship betting* (odds recorded 023:41 GMT, April 4th 2021).
Key Facts – Rotherham vs Wycombe Betting Tip
- Rotherham have lost their last four home games
- Rotherham took a 1-0 away win over Wycombe earlier this season
- Wycombe have failed to score in their last five away games in the Championship
Looking for a little bit of extended odds value, the Rotherham 1 goal winning margin is the pick at 11/4* (odds recorded 023:41 GMT, April 4th 2021).
We just see this being a low scoring affair, but the Millers are the more likely of the two.
That’s without them carrying any kind of home form recently.
The best betting odds for Rotherham vs Wycombe
Rotherham to win: 4/5 at Bet365
Draw: 27/10 at Bet365
Wycombe to win: 7/2 at Bet365
