Saracens vs Newcastle Falcons
9th October 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Newcastle +16 handicap
Bookmaker Ladbrokes
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021
Saracens were toppled last weekend on a visit to Leicester Tigers, going down by the narrowest of margins there.
So they now need to come up with a bounce-back performance as they get their first home game of the new campaign.
But they meet a Newcastle Falcons side who have won their last two in Premiership Rugby, but Sarries are heavy odds-on favourites for the win.
Table of Contents
Saracens Preview – Sarries to bounce back?
Saracens suffered their first reverse of the new season last weekend as they were beaten by Leicester.
If you extend things back to look at their form from the last time they were in the top flight, that’s two wins in seven Premiership matches for Sarries.
But they are strong 1/12 odds-on favourites in Premiership Rugby betting for a victory on Saturday* (odds recorded 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021).
This season started with an away win for Saracens at Bristol Bears before that loss against the Leicester Tigers.
They fell to the Tigers last weekend by a single point.
Against the Newcastle Falcons, Saracens have won their last eight fixtures so have massive head to head form.
That is a winning streak that extends back to 2009 against the Tynesiders.
Saracens haven’t lost at home in a fixture against Newcastle since 2007.
So all the signs here point to a victory for the home side on Saturday.
Incidentally, their winning streak against the Falcons is the longest streak any Premiership team has ever recorded against a single opponent.
This is the first home game of the new season for Saracens. They had a bye in Round 2 which is when they would have been scheduled for a home fixture.
Saracens have won their opening home game in all but one of their last eight Premiership campaigns.
The last Premiership home game they played was against Bath in 2020 which they drew.
Saracen’s have not failed to win consecutive home premiership fixtures since 2016.
A Saracens -16 handicap is at a quote of 10/11 for Premiership rugby betting* (odds recorded 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021).
Newcastle Falcons Preview – Can Falcons upset the odds?
There have been back to back league successes for Newcastle Falcons this season, a huge positive for them.
Before the start of the season, they were earmarked as one of the favourites to get relegated.
Newcastle had started the campaign with a loss at home against Harlequins.
But they have responded well to take victories over Bath and Wasps.
They are a quote of 7/1 in Premiership Rugby betting to claim one over Saracens on the weekend* (odds recorded 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021).
The Falcons have not scored more than 20 points in any league fixture this season.
So that lack of a bigger scoring threat is expected to trip them up.
The last time that Newcastle won three fixtures on the bounce was at the start of last season’s Premiership campaign.
Their one away game this season was at Bath, which they won.
That was their first away win since December 2020.
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Newcastle Falcons have won their opening two away matches in two of their last three Premiership campaigns.
They have looked fairly solid defensively this season and have conceded fewer turnovers than any other team so far.
A Newcastle +16 handicap at 10/11 isn’t that unrealistic we feel* (odds recorded 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021).
The Falcons won’t likely have enough to take the win against Saracens who have only given up one try this season.
But there is a reasonable chance that they keep the score line respectable.
Saracens vs Newcastle Falcons Betting Advice
Saracens have conceded an average of 11 points per game this season. They haven’t been afraid to kick the ball around this term.
We don’t see their backline being hurt too much by Newcastle Falcons.
Saracens have that huge winning streak going against the Falcons as well. But a tighter Saracens 1-12 winning margin at 13/5 looks good* (odds recorded 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021).
Key Facts – Saracens vs Newcastle Falcons Betting Tip
- Saracens have won their last 18 league fixtures against Newcastle
- Saracens have won 2 of their last 7 Premiership fixtures
- Newcastle Falcons have won their last two league games
Newcastle came up short by only a six point-margin against reigning champions Harlequins in their opener this season.
They also kept Wasps fairly quiet last weekend. So we think the Falcons can stay within reasonable touch.
A Newcastle +16 at handicap looks the main approach for rugby betting* (odds recorded 18:16 GMT on October 7th, 2021).
The best betting odds for Saracens vs Newcastle Falcons
Saracens to win: 1/10 at Bet365
Draw: 33/1 at Bet365
Newcastle Falcons to win: 13/2 at Bet365
