Southampton vs Burnley Betting Tip Under 2.5 goals – 15 February 2020

Close game likely at St Mary's

Dwight McNeil /Burnley ©imago images / Colorsport 15.02.2020

EnglandSouthampton vs BurnleyEngland
15th February 1230hrs
Football – England – Premier League
Pick Under 2.5 goals
Bookmaker Betfair
Odds: 9/10 odds taken 2000 GMT, Friday 14 February

Southampton and Burnley have significantly increased their chances of survival following good recent runs. Another three points for either would go a long way to preserving their Premier League status for another year.

Bet at Betfair


Southampton Preview – Can Saints bounce back from heavy defeat last time out and move into the top half?

Following that 9-0 defeat at home to Leicester earlier in the season the situation was looking very bleak for Southampton. There were significant doubts over Ralph Hasenhuttl’s future at that point and whether his ambitious style of play could work with this group of players. As such, it’s testament to the club’s owners that they stuck by the Austrian and Saints are now beginning to see the benefits of that.
It was a heavy defeat last time out against champions-elect Liverpool but Southampton have climbed away from the relegation zone with five wins in eight and could easily have had a sixth with their only other defeat in that run coming against Wolves having been two goals up.
Our betting prediction:
Southampton to win to nil

Bet at Unibet


The bottom of the league this season is of such a good quality that Southampton will know they still have work to do but a six point lead over West Ham – who are currently third bottom – is certainly a decent cushion.

If Saints can take all three points tomorrow then they can move level on points with Arsenal for at least 24 hours which is further indication of the strides that the team have made in the last few months. It would also, more importantly, put them within touching distance of safety and able to enjoy the remainder of the season.

Burnley Preview – Can Burnley extend unbeaten run to four matches and ease relegation fears further

Build from a solid foundation, play with width and get plenty of crosses into the opposition’s penalty box for physical centre forwards. It’s a formula that has kept Burnley in this league for a number of years and it looks like being successful once again. That’s not to say that there have not been some concerns for Sean Dyche’s team, however.

The Clarets have been able to put together a decent run heading into the winter break which seen them take seven points from three games.

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An excellent come-from-behind win at home to Leicester set them on their way before a 2-0 win at Old Trafford. Burnley then were able to grind out a point at home to Arsenal meaning that break was much more relaxing than it may have been.

Before that improved set of results Dyche’s team had lost four straight in the league and seven of their last nine. Credit to the manager and his players, though, as their experience of this league has allowed them to respond with three massive results and eased the pressure on them considerably.


Southampton vs Burnley Betting Advice

This is the reverse fixture from the opening day of the season – a game which Burnley romped to a 3-0 win. Now, going into the last third of the season and both teams know they are a couple of wins and draws away from likely safety.
The fact if either team are able to get the win they would move into the top 10 would be a significant boost as the pressure increases on the teams below them.

Key Facts – Southampton vs Burnley Betting Tip

  • Southampton are one of the form teams in the league winning five of their last eight
  • Seven points from their last three games have given Burnley much-needed separation from the bottom three
  • It was a thumping 3-0 win for Burnley at home to Southampton when the teams met on the opening day of the season


This is an interesting clash in that it pits a team who are better on their travels against a team who are much better at home. Saints don’t score many at home with just 13 goals in 12 matches. Burnley are averaging a goal a game from their away fixtures so it’s not a game to expect a flood of goals.

Five of Southampton’s last six home matches have went under 2.5 goals and this looks like being another close-fought affair.

The best betting odds for Southampton vs Burnley


Southampton to win: 3/4 at Bet365
Draw: 14/5 at Bet365
Burnley to win: 15/4 at Bet365