Torino vs Milan
12th May 1945hrs
Football – Italy – Serie A
Pick Away Win
Bookmaker William Hill
Odds: 62/25 odds taken 20:50 GMT, 10th May
Torino are not free from relegation worries mathematically, as they finished the weekend four points clear of the drop zone.
They have a game in hand over everyone else beneath them and recent form has not been too bad.
Torino have a tougher home game coming up in midweek as they host Milan. The visitors are playing to keep themselves a top-four finish.
Table of Contents
Torino Preview – Can Torino avoid defeat?
Torino are four points above the drop zone and are probably going to stay up.
On the weekend they earned a decent point away at Verona, meaning that they have lost only one of their last seven (W3 D3).
There have been just three home league successes for Torino this season (D8 L6).
Two of those have happened in their last three home fixtures. Two of their three home wins have happened against teams currently in the top eight.
Torino are the underdogs in the match outright for this midweek action.
The win for Torino in football betting is at a quote of 14/5* (odds recorded 20:50 GMT, 10th May).
One positive for them is that they have scored in 5 of their last 6 Serie A home games.
It has been an average of 1.4 goals from them on home turf this season.
Torino have managed to earn a clean sheet in a quarter of home games.
Of the home goals that Torino have produced, 71% of them have been after the halftime break.
The Half Time Draw looks like a reasonable enough football betting option at 11/10* (odds recorded 20:50 GMT, 10th May).
Torino have been level at the break in 9 of 17 home games (W2 L6).
Earlier this season when they faced Milan at the San Siro, Torino were left with a 2-0 defeat.
In their seven games played against teams currently in the top four, Torino have conceded at least two goals in all but one (D2 L5).
The home success in this fixture doesn’t immediately jump off the page as a strong Serie A betting option.
There are only three teams in the division with worse home records than that of Torino’s.
Milan Preview – Motivated Milan to win?
AC Milan still have a little work to do to lock down a Champions League place for the next campaign.
Milan finished the weekend’s round of action in third place in the table, with a three-point buffer over fifth-placed Juventus.
Milan thumped Juventus 3-0 in Turin on the weekend.
So they are in decent enough shape with just three games to go.
In midweek, AC Milan will be targeting their third straight league success.
So they look as if they have run back into form. Their last two wins were with clean sheets as well.
The away win is a quote of 17/20 for the night* (odds recorded 20:50 GMT, 10th May).
Milan’s away form has been pretty handy recently as well, winning five of their last six on the road (L1).
They netted at least two goals in each of the wins in that sequence too.
Given that they do need to strongly target the points, they look a sound option to claim three points in midweek.
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Milan have won 82% of away games this season having earned a fantastic W14 D1 L2 road record.
That’s impressive numbers.
They are also averaging exactly two goals per away game.
71% of Milan’s road fixtures have finished over 2.5 goals and for football betting, there is a quote of 4/6 on that happening Wednesday* (odds recorded 20:50 GMT, 10th May).
Milan are actually winless in their last four away games at Torino (D2 L2).
But given the circumstances and look at current form, they look the best option to roll with.
Torino vs Milan Betting Advice
Torino have won only three games at home this season and we can see them getting knocked over.
That’s despite them winning two of their last three at home and despite them holding a bit of head to head form against Milan.
We can’t find enough of a reason to support the home win. Torino’s record against the top six this season is woeful.
So the AC Milan victory at 17/20 is going to be the main pick* (odds recorded 20:50 GMT, 10th May).
Key Facts – Torino vs Milan Betting Tip
- Torino are unbeaten in four home games against Milan
- Torino have not beaten a top-six side this season (home and away)
- Milan have a tremenduos W14 D1 L2 away record
In a push towards some longer odds, we are going with the Milan to win & Over 2.5 goals option at 13/8* (odds recorded 20:50 GMT, 10th May).
Milan have scored at least two goals in five of their last six away games (W5 L1).
We think that they have enough to claim maximum points but won’t be surprised to see goals at both ends.
The best betting odds for Torino vs Milan
Torino to win: 14/5 at Bet365
Draw: 14/5 at Bet365
Milan to win: 17/20 at Bet365
