Turkey Vs Wales Betting Tip: Turkey – 16 June 2021

Crescent Stars out to atone in Baku

Kenan Karaman / Turkey ©IMAGO / Insidefoto 06/11/2021

Turkey Turkey Vs Wales Wales

Wednesday, 16th June 2021 – 17:00
UEFA European Championship 2020, Group A
Pick: Turkey WIN
Odds: 7/5
Bookmaker: Betway
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 14th June 2021)

Preview: After a satisfactory outcome here in Baku in their very first outing in Group A, can Wales build on that when they take on a Turkey side already feeling the pressure following a crushing defeat on the opening night of the tournament?

UEFA EURO 2020 Betting at Betfair


Turkey – Pressure on following tame showing in Rome?

There will be some conjecture as to which team has so far underwhelmed the most, but I am in no doubt Turkey take the crown. Billed as pre-tournament dark horses on the back of a terrific qualifying campaign that was built on solid defensive foundations. To then lose their opening match of the tournament in such meek fashion, going down 3-0 in Rome to Italy, was bitterly disappointing for their legion of backers.

Fortunately for Senol Gunes and his well beaten charges, this tournament format, with as many as three teams potentially qualifying from a single group, does widen the margin for error. The Crescent Stars last lost successive matches in November 2018. Furthermore, the defeat to Italy was only a second in fourteen games across all competitions, having previously remained unbeaten this year (W4 D2).

Gunes will know his team are capable of a lot more – their tally of three shots on Matchday 1 was their lowest ever in a European Championship. Prior to these finals, Turkey averaged 2.3 goals per game in 2021. They would also produce a number of memorable displays since qualifying ended, scoring three or more against Croatia, Germany, Netherlands, Norway and Russia. So are unlikely to fear Wales.


Over 1.5 Turkey Goals



Wales – Encouraging start but room for improvement?

Rob Page’s first taste of coaching at a major tournament will be regarded as a reasonable success after his Wales side earned a potentially crucial point in their opening game of the 2020 European Championship, drawing 1-1 in Baku, Azerbaijan with the more experienced Switzerland. It leaves them in a share of second in Group A, two points off Italy who thrashed Turkey 3-0 on the opening night.

Some could argue there was an element of smash and grab about the result against the Swiss, who dominated just about every metric apart from the one that matters: the scoreline. Wales generated a modest 0.4 Expected Goals, that 1.8 less than their opponents, and mustered only two shots on target with both coming from the head of forward Kieffer Moore whose second was glanced in at the far post.

More is required, though, in terms of points but also performance levels, if Wales are to maintain their perfect record of having progressed out of the group in their two previous tournament appearances. That could be a problem should Turkey find another gear. The Welsh Dragons have now scored no more than once in all but one of the past 14 matches, going the last three without registering a win (D2 L1).

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Turkey Vs Wales Betting Advice

The manner, more than the performance itself, of Turkey’s 3-0 loss to Italy will have been concerning to backers, of which I was one on opening night. They can put that right against Wales, though. The Welsh will be buoyed by their draw with Switzerland. However it was a fortunate outcome based on the chances both teams created, and Rob Page’s men could be vulnerable unless an improved display is forthcoming – against an opponent who we know are capable of a great deal better.


Turkey Vs Switzerland – Key Facts:

  • These teams endured contrasting fortunes in their opening games of the tournament. Turkey resoundingly beaten 3-0 by Italy as Wales secured a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Switzerland.
  • That loss was a first in seven games (W4 D2) for Turkey, who were last defeated in successive matches in November 2018.
  • Wales are now unbeaten in four of their last five games (W2 D2 L1) but remain winless in three, having scored no more than one goal in 13 of the last 14.


Turkey hadn’t lost in six, winning four, prior to facing a decent Italian outfit. The Crescent Stars have been excellent since qualifying for this tournament got underway, producing a number of outstanding results against some top sides, so won’t fear a Welsh team that has scored one goal or fewer in 13 of their last 14 games. Meanwhile, Turkey scored multiple times in eight of their last ten contests, and probably need to win this to have any chance of progressing.

Best Betting Odds – Turkey Vs Wales

Turkey – 7/5 (Betway)
Draw – 21/10 (BetFred)
Wales – 9/4 (PaddyPower)