Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim
28th February 1230hrs
Football – Germany – Bundesliga
Pick Union Berlin to win
Bookmaker Betfair
Odds:11/8 odds taken 04:44 GMT Wednesday, 24th February
This Sunday action from the Bundesliga features Union Berlin looking for maximum points that could edge them closer to the top six.
They have found wins hard to come by recently, so this looks like a tight duel on home soil against the visiting Hoffenheim.
The visitors haven’t been in much better shape recently with only one win in their last four, but can they upset the hosts?
Table of Contents
Union Berlin Preview – Can Berlin take the home points?
Union Berlin will start the next round of league action three points outside of the top six.
So they will be looking for a victory at home to keep in touch with that race.
In their last league fixture, they claimed a 1-0 road win at Freiburg.
That snapped a five-match winless streak of league form (D2 L3) and it was just their second win in their last eight fixtures.
The home form of Union Berlin isn’t bad at all, however.
They are W4 D6 L1 on home turf in the Bundesliga this season which suggests that they can avoid defeat here.
In the match outright for Bundesliga betting odds, a win for Union Berlin is at 11/8* (odds recorded 04:44 GMT Wednesday, 24th February).
They are undefeated in their last ten home games and in that sequence have held their own against stronger teams than Hoffenheim.
Union Berlin have scored in all but one of their home league fixtures.
They have tallied an average of 1.9 goals per home game so they should have a reasonable shot at three points.
Earlier this season when the two clubs met, Union Berlin earned a comfortable 3-1 win at Hoffenheim.
In their one previous home fixture against Hoffenheim, Union Berlin lost 2-0 last season.
We do think that the goals are going to fly around in this one. Both teams are more than capable in front of goal.
So the over 2.5 goals looks like a solid football betting proposition at 4/5* (odds recorded 04:44 GMT Wednesday, 24th February).
This would be a big three points for Union Berlin if they could put them in the bag.
Hoffenheim Preview – Can the visitors hold out?
There was a home win for Hoffenheim last weekend in league action as they thumped Werder Bremen 4-0.
That snapped a run of three games in which they had only taken one point.
The two league wins that Hoffenheim have recorded have been on home soil.
They have taken a W2 D1 L3 record from their last six games on the road.
In that sequence, all three of the defeats they conceded exactly four goals in and one of those was against bottom side Schalke.
In the match outright for Bundesliga football betting, the away win is trading at 19/10 currently* (odds recorded 04:44 GMT Wednesday, 24th February).
On their league travels this season Hoffenheim are W3 D3 L5 overall.
Their big woes have really come against facing the stronger teams as their road record against the top half of the table teams is W1 D1 L4.
Union Berlin, for reference, are seventh.
But Hoffenheim are pretty reliable when it comes to putting the ball in the back of the net.
They have scored in all but one of their away games this season.
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Hoffenheim’s troubles have been in defence as they have conceded at an average of more than 2 goals per away game.
82% of Hoffenheim’s Bundesliga away games this season have made it over that 2.5 goals mark.
So it’s not unreasonable at all to assume both teams are going to get on the scoresheet.
Both teams to score is at 8/13* (odds recorded 04:44 GMT Wednesday, 24th February).
The concern for the visitors will be their defence.
Only three teams have a worse defensive record in this season’s Bundesliga than they have.
Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim Betting Advice
We are going to swing towards the home win in this one.
The 11/8 quote in the match outright on that option is accessible* (odds recorded 04:44 GMT Wednesday, 24th February).
It’s not that Union Berlin have been in hot form, but they are 10 undefeated at home and have been scoring frequently.
They are taking a pretty flimsy Hoffenheim defence.
Key Facts – Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim Betting Tip
- Union Berlin are undefeated in their last 10 league home games
- Union Berlin beat Hoffenheim 3-1 earlier in the season
- Hoffenheim have conceded over 2 goals per away game on average
The fact that Hoffenheim have conceded exactly four goals in each of their last three away defeats speaks volumes.
There have been some really poor defensive crashes from them.
Home and away they have conceded at least two goals in three of their last four games.
They bring an attacking threat, but that defensive is the big red flag.
Union Berlin to win & Both Teams To Score is at 10/3* (odds recorded 04:44 GMT Wednesday, 24th February).
The best betting odds for Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim
Union Berlin to win: 11/8 at Bet365
Draw: 5/2 at Bet365
Hoffenheim to win: 19/101 at Bet365
