Valladolid vs Villarreal
13th May 1800hrs
Football – Spain – La Liga
Pick Draw
Bookmaker Bet365
Odds: 5/2 odds taken 22:48 GMT 10th May
There will be some pressure on both teams in this Thursday night fixture in the Spanish top flight.
But for very different reasons.
Valladolid are trying to fight the drop. At the other end of the table, Villarreal are trying to hold on to a top-six finish.
So there is everything to play for on the night. Which of the two sides will walk away with a precious three points?
Table of Contents
Valladolid Preview – Can the home side avoid defeat?
Valladolid lost heavily at Valencia in league action on the weekend.
That left them in the precarious position of one point free of the drop zone with only three fixtures to play.
So there is some big pressure on them.
That defeat on the weekend snapped a run of four straight league draws that Valladolid had been on.
What it did also do was extend their winless streak to nine league games.
They have managed one success only in their last eighteen league games.
So the home win at a quote of 14/5 doesn’t look too appealing for football betting on Thursday night* (odds recorded 22:48 GMT 10th May).
However, Valladolid have to fight hard given their position.
A draw may not be the worst result for them at the end of the day and they could have the home form behind them to get that.
Valladolid are W1 D3 L1 in their last five La Liga home games. The one defeat in that particular sequence happened against Granada.
The overall home record of Valladolid this season is W3 D7 L7.
Valladolid have drawn four of their six home games this season against current top-eight teams.
Each of the draws in that sequence were 1-1.
The 1-1 correct score option for football betting is a quote of 11/2* (odds recorded 22:48 GMT 10th May).
Earlier this season Valladolid lost 2-0 at Villarreal.
Villarreal Preview – Can Villarreal secure three points?
Villarreal found themselves four points out of the top five on the weekend following a loss at home against Celta Vigo.
That was their fourth loss in their last six games (W2).
So they have been unpredictable, to say the least.
But the visitors are the 19/20 odds-on favourites to pick up three points in this road fixture in midweek* (odds recorded 22:48 GMT 10th May).
Villarreal hold a W6 D7 L4 away record this season which is respectable enough.
They have won three of their last four on the road as well.
In each of the three wins in that sequence, Villarreal scored at least three goals.
Their biggest difficulties have been against the stronger teams as they are winless in five games away against the current top-six.
This is not such a tough assignment for them, however.
Villarreal secured a comfortable 2-0 win over Valladolid earlier this season.
But digging a little deeper, Villarreal are W2 D4 from their six matches against the bottom three.
So we think that they could struggle to get across the line for the three points.
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Villarreal have averaged 1.6 goals per road game in this campaign and have taken a clean sheet in 29%.
They have returned a very good W9 D5 L3 half time road record.
71% of the away goals that Villarreal have scored in this campaign have come in the first half of matches.
There is also the positive of them having scored in each of their last seven away games and in their last ten, home and away combined.
Only three teams have produced a higher goal-scoring output in La Liga this season than Villarreal have done.
Valladolid vs Villarreal Betting Advice
We actually think that the draw looks like the best way to go for football betting in this one at 5/2* (odds recorded 22:48 GMT 10th May).
The only team Valladolid have lost to at home in their last five such fixtures is Granada.
So we do see the home team holding out, especially as that would help their fight against the drop.
Key Facts – Valladolid vs Villarreal Betting Tip
- Valladolid have drawn four of their last five home games (L1)
- Valladolid are W1 D2 in their last three at home against Villarreal
- Villarreal have lost four of their last six league fixtures
Villarreal have taken some hits in their recent form, losing four of their last six.
Their form isn’t quite convincing enough for us to lean on them to get the victory.
The 1-1 correct score is going to be our bigger punt at a quote of 11/2* (odds recorded 22:48 GMT 10th May).
The best betting odds for Valladolid vs Villarreal
Valladolid to win: 14/5 at Bet365
Draw: 5/2 at Bet365
Villarreal to win: 19/20 at Bet365
