Worcester vs Bristol Bears Betting Tip Worcester +9 Handicap – 4th September 2020

Bears can edge the contest at Sixways for much-needed win

John Hawkins / Bristol Bears ©imago images / Action Plus 08/29/2020

England Worcester vs Bristol Bears England
4th September 1800hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Worcester +9 handicap
Bookmaker 10bet
Odds: Even Money odds taken 22:12 GMT, Thursday 3rd September

It has been a largely unproductive season by the Worcester Warriors and they are underdogs at home for Friday’s fixture.

They are taking on Bristol who will be fired up as they are trying to lock down a top-four finish this season.

Will the Bears collect an expected away win to keep their hopes flying after having been hit with back to back losses?

Bet at 10bet


Worcester Preview – Warriors face another tough task

There was little chance of Worcester getting a win last weekend as they went to league leaders Exeter.

They didn’t get it and in fact, were smashed 59-7 in a one-sided game.

That is four losses in their last five league games now.

The only bright spark in that run did happen at Sixways when they collected a 29-14 win over Harlequins in round sixteen.

That victory over Quins is the only win that Worcester have produced in their last ten rounds of league action.

It snapped a run of five straight losses at Sixways and Worcester are big 3/1 underdogs for Friday’s game* (odds taken 22:12 GMT, Thursday 3rd September).

This does appear to be, on the surface, another thankless task for them as they face yet another top-four side.

Our betting prediction:
Bristol 1-7 winning margin

Bet at Coral

(odds taken 2000 GMT, Wednesday 8 January)


But Worcester did get close to Bristol when they met them earlier this season, the Warriors going down 13-10.

The Warriors had been on a three-match winning streak over Bristol before that, but the Bears are a much stronger outfit this season.

The last time that Worcester lost both games in a single league season against Bristol was in the 2006/07 campaign.

Worcester are even money to defend a +9 handicap in the match* (odds taken 22:12 GMT, Thursday 3rd September).


Bristol Bears Preview – Can Bears deliver at Sixways?

Interestingly the form of the Bristol Bears at Sixways is pretty poor.

Across all competitions, the West Country team have only ever collected two wins there.

There has been a bit of a recent blip in their top-four hopes for this season as well, having suffered back to back losses.

Those happened against Exeter and Sale and it snapped some good winning momentum that they had.

Those were, at the end of the day, telling losses against the runaway league leaders and a top-four competitor.

But on paper, this should be an easier match for Bristol as they are taking on the lowest-scoring team in the Premiership.

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Bristol Bears have collected only one bonus point win since August, which was against Gloucester in their second match back after the restart.

Those recent setbacks have put a bit of pressure on them and they need to get back to winning ways.

The Bears are only W8 L17 in the overall head to head against Worcester.

Bristol are the lowest-scoring team inside the top four currently, but they have still produced 15 tries more than Worcester have done in this campaign.

The last two meetings between the two clubs have both been settled by a margin of no more than three points.


Worcester vs Bristol Bears Betting Advice

Bristol were smashed 52-7 on their last visit to Sixways back in October 2018.

Since then it has been a win and loss on home soil against the Warriors, so this could be closer than expected given a glance at the league standings.

We would still predict that it will be Bristol to collect a win, but we just don’t see it happening by a large margin.


Key Facts – Worcester vs Bristol Bears Betting Tip

  • Worcester have won three of the last four meetings with Bristol
  • Worcester have won 1 of their last 10 league fixtures
  • Bristol Bears have lost their last two league games


In fact, that Worcester +9 handicap has stacks of appeal at evens* (odds taken 22:12 GMT, Thursday 3rd September).

But to find a little value elsewhere we are looking at Bristol 1-7 winning margin at 3/1* (odds taken 22:12 GMT, Thursday 3rd September).


The best betting odds for Worcester vs Bristol Bears

Worcester to win: 3/1 at Bet365
Draw: 25/1 at Bet365
Bristol Bears to win: 1/4 at Bet365