Worcester vs Exeter Chiefs
30th January 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Exeter -11 handicap
Bookmaker Ladbrokes
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 04:14 GMT Thursday, 28th January
After looking unbeatable in the early stages of the new season, things have taken a strange turn for Exeter.
The reigning champions have suffered shock back to back defeats in the top flight.
The Chiefs head out on the road to face Worcester on Saturday.
The Warriors though have been struggling to get anything going all season.
Will this be the chance of Exeter to rediscover their winning touch?
Table of Contents
Worcester Preview – Warriors with a thankless task?
Lining up against Exeter these days is usually a daunting task for anyone. But can Worcester cause the visitors some further stress?
In the match outright for rugby betting, a win for Worcester is at 9/2* (odds taken 04:14 GMT Thursday, 28th January).
The last time that Worcester Warriors claimed a league win in a match was at home against London Irish on November 21st last year.
It is a W1 L4 record that they are on for this season and have really struggled to put points on the board.
The Warriors have tallied just 64 points in their five games in this season’s Premiership.
In their last sixteen matches against the Chiefs, Worcester have claimed one win.
That happened away at Sandy Park in early 2018.
In last season’s corresponding fixture the Warriors suffered a 20-24 defeat.
The biggest margin of defeat that Worcester have suffered in their last five league games against Exeter was by 52 points at Sandy Park last season.
But the other four matches in that sequence, the largest losing margin for Worcester was 17 points.
A Worcester +12 handicap in this fixture is at 10/11* (odds taken 04:14 GMT Thursday, 28th January).
So far at home in this league campaign, Worcester have beaten London Irish (by 1 point) and have lost to Bath.
In only one of their five matches played this season, Worcester managed to score at least 20 points.
Four of their five matches have been completed by a margin of at least seven points for the winning team.
Exeter Chiefs Preview – Will the Chiefs bounce back to form?
After four straight convincing wins to open their title defence with, few would have predicted what happened to Exeter after.
It has been back to back league defeats for them, so they need to know to come up with a response.
Those defeats were at London Wasps who smashed them 34-5 and then against the Bristol Bears.
Bristol showed up at Sandy Park and beat Exeter 20-7.
So for Exeter’s scoring to have been shut down to less than 10 points in their last two matches is remarkable.
But in the match outright a win for Exeter offers punters nothing at 1/7* (odds taken 04:14 GMT Thursday, 28th January).
That’s because Worcester are not up to the kind of level that Wasps or Bristol currently are.
So the away win in this fixture is fully expected. The question, therefore, is how big of a win can Exeter get?
There will be the train of thought that they will be out to make a statement and take things out on a poor Warriors side.
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Squads have been disrupted by the forthcoming Six Nations a little bit and with the small break between league matches in mind, we are going conservative.
An Exeter Chiefs 11-15 winning margin is our shot at extended odds in rugby betting for Worcester v Exeter at 9/2* (odds taken 04:14 GMT Thursday, 28th January).
Out on their league travels Exeter have beaten Leicester and Harlequins, while they had that misfire against London Wasps.
A three-match losing streak in the Premiership doesn’t really appear to be feasible for Exeter.
Worcester vs Exeter Chiefs Betting Advice
Those have been some serious blips in recent league form for Exeter. Do we expect them to bounce back?
Of course and a Chiefs 11-15 winning margin is our pick for the fixture at 9/2* (odds taken 04:14 GMT Thursday, 28th January).
That would be a nice positive return for the Chiefs on the road.
Key Facts – Worcester vs Exeter Chiefs Betting Tip
- Worcester have one win in sixteen previous matches against Worcester in the Premiership
- Worcester’s last league win was in November last year
- Exeter Chiefs have lost their last two league fixtures
The Warriors are just not up to the calibre of the teams who have inflicted defeat on Wasps this season.
Perhaps for some pragmatic approach a Chiefs -11 handicap at 10/11 ticks some boxes* (odds taken 04:14 GMT Thursday, 28th January).
The scoring threat of Worcester just isn’t there to topple the Chiefs.
The best betting odds for Worcester vs Exeter Chiefs
Worcester to win: 2/15 at Bet365
Draw: 33/1 at Bet365
Exeter Chiefs to win: 1/3 at Bet365
