Worcester vs Saracens
30th September 17:30hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Saracens
Bookmaker Ladbrokes
Odds: 13/5 odds taken 20:33 GMT, Tuesday 29th September
The only thing that is at stake in this one is a bit of pride. This is the penultimate game of the season for Saracens before they are relegated.
They saw their European defence come to an end last weekend as well, so the season has pretty much ground to a halt for them.
Worcester have had their fair amount of struggles this season and will be looking for a final bit of home cheer.
Table of Contents
Worcester Preview – Can Warriors win final home game?
Worcester are W6 L14 for the season and they are the lowest scoring team in the Premiership at the moment.
The Warriors are averaging 17 points per game in this campaign, which doesn’t sound enough to hold off the challenge of Saracens.
They did get a win on the board in their last game, collecting a victory over London Irish by a four-point margin.
That snapped a three-match losing streak that they had been on in the Premiership.
Worcester’s form at Sixways hasn’t been great as they have collected just the one victory in their last six there across all competitions.
However, with Saracens potentially not sending anywhere near like their strongest line up out, because of their European action last weekend, Worcester are favourites for this.
There is a quote of 3/10 in the match outright on Worcester for this one* (odds taken 20:33 GMT, Tuesday 29th September).
When the two teams met back in January for the first time this season, Saracens romped to a 62-5 victory over the Warriors.
But Worcester did win their last home game against Sarries, claiming a 31-29 victory in may last year.
In the last five meetings Worcester are W1 L4 against Saracens.
Given their lack of successful form at Sixways in recent times, they could still be a little vulnerable here.
Saracens Preview – Sarries to rest players after European exit
Saracens have had a much busier workload than Worcester lately as they had played their way through to the semi finals of the Heineken Cup.
But their campaign and title defence there came to a dramatic end, as some late brilliance from Racing 92 got the better of them.
So that is their season effectively at an end, and after their big recent European excursions, Sarries aren’t going to go full tilt at this contest.
That is what is leaving them as the 13/5 underdogs in the match outright* (odds taken 20:33 GMT, Tuesday 29th September)..
Their form since the season was restarted is W4 L3 and their away form overall isn’t that great in the top flight this season.
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Saracens have only won two of their last seven road games in the Premiership, those happening at Nottingham and London Irish.
Since 2012 Saracens have only been beaten twice by the Warriors in the Premiership, and those losses were both at Sixways in 2018 and 2019.
Even in their relegation predictions the scoring output of Saracens has been fine and they romped past a weakened Exeter in their last league fixture.
It has been an average of 26 points per game by Saracens in this campaign, which is far superior to that output by Worcester.
Worcester vs Saracens Betting Advice
This is a tricky game to call, because Worcester are the long odds-on favourites in the match outright, but don’t have any real form at Sixways in any competition.
But then there are Saracens who have not really delivered the goods out on the road throughout this campaign.
But Sarries have positive head to head form going against the Warriors and in the match outright the visitors are worth a look at 13/5* (odds taken 20:33 GMT, Tuesday 29th September).
Key Facts – Worcester vs Saracens Betting Tip
- Worcester have won one of their last four league games
- Worcester have only collected one victory in their last six games at Sixways in all competitions
- Saracens have lost just twice in the Premiership to Worcester since 2012
There are some other good options around with a Saracens +8 handicap a reasonable option at 10/11* (odds taken 20:33 GMT, Tuesday 29th September)..
It may just be one of those strange low-key affairs and so we can see a tight outcome, but even an understrength Sarries can potentially outscore Worcester.
For rugby betting a Saracens 1-10 winning margin is worth consideration at 12/5 odds* (odds taken 20:33 GMT, Tuesday 29th September).
The best betting odds for Worcester vs Saracens
Worcester to win: 3/10 at Bet365
Draw: 25/1 at Bet365
Saracens to win: 13/5 at Bet365
