Worcester Warriors vs Exeter Chiefs Rugby Betting Tip – Warriors +11 handicap – 12th March 2022

Exeter to grind out at a win at Sixways, but Warriors can stay close

Will Pugh / Worcester Warriors ©IMAGO / Shutterstock 27.02.2022

England Worcester Warriors vs Exeter Chiefs England
12th March 2022 – Kick Off 1430hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Warriors +11 handicap
Bookmaker Bet365
Odds: 62/25 odds taken 18:18 GMT on March 10th, 2022

The Premiership Rugby weekend kicks off with Worcester Warriors playing host to Exeter Chiefs at Sixways.

Exeter have some great winning momentum behind them at the moment having won their last four league matches on the spin.

The Chiefs are the heavy odds-on match favourites in Premiership Rugby betting to extend that streak on the weekend.

Bet at Bet365


Worcester Warriors Preview – Warriors face tough challenge

Last weekend Worcester Warriors were torn apart on their visit to London Irish, suffering a 43-12 defeat.

The Warriors have lost back to back league games since a narrow win over Bristol in mid-February.

It has been a W1 L5 return by the Warriors in their last six.

Worcester are bottom of the Premiership table but level on points with Bath who are directly above them.

The Warriors are on a W4 D1 L13 record for the campaign.

In the match outright, the win for Worcester is at a quote of 11/4* (odds recorded 18:18 GMT on March 10th, 2022 at Bet365)

No team has conceded more points in matches than Worcester have done.

They have shipped at an average rate of 34 points per fixture in this campaign.

One positive that they have is that they have won three of their last five at Sixways in the Premiership.

Not so good is that Worcester have won only one of their previous 19 Premiership Rugby fixtures against the Chiefs.

That lone win in the head to head for Worcester happened on the road.

Our betting prediction:
Exeter 1-7 Winning Margins

Bet at Bet365

* (odds recorded 18:18 GMT on March 10th, 2022 at Bet365)


Worcester have won only one of their last eight Premiership Rugby matches, losing the other seven.

The win in that sequence coincided with them not conceding more than 22 points, the only time in that sequence that they did.

Overall it has been a W4 L4 return at Sixways for Worcester Warriors.

None of their home successes happened after trailing at the halftime break.

There is a big uphill task ahead for them on the weekend.


Exeter Chiefs Preview – Exeter on a roll

Exeter Chiefs have got their act together, recovering well from some indifferent form to win the last four on the bounce.

They have come through a few tough challenges in their recent winning streak.

There were victories over Gloucester and Sale Sharks there.

Last weekend the Chiefs held out against a second-half comeback against Sale Sharks at Sandy Park to win 19-12.

Exeter are 1/4 odds-on in the match outright* (odds recorded 18:18 GMT on March 10th, 2022 at Bet365).

They have had a good time on the road this season.

The Devonshire club have banked a win in six of their nine away fixtures this campaign.

It has been back to back road successes for them in their current form.

Those were victories at Newcastle Falcons and Northampton Saints, both by no more than a 3-point margin.

But wide-margin victories for Exeter against Worcester have been a feature of the most recent meetings.

Three of the last four clashes have seen Exeter Chiefs win by at least 30 points.

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Exeter Chiefs haven’t been at their free-scoring best this season but an Exeter -11 handicap is on the radar at even money* (odds recorded 18:18 GMT on March 10th, 2022 at Bet365).

That will require a little more than what they have produced recently.

Each of their last four league wins have been by no more than 10 points.

In their W6 L3 away record this season, Exeter have only led at half time once.

But they have enjoyed more possession than any other team.

Only the table toppers, the Leicester Tigers have spent more time in opposition territory than Exeter Chiefs this season.


Worcester Warriors vs Exeter Chiefs Betting Advice

Worcester Warriors have lost seven of their last eight fixtures and while there have been some positives for them at Sixways recently, they will likely come up short.

They don’t appear to have the defensive qualities to hold out against an Exeter side that will just grind them down.

But, a Worcester +11 handicap at evens is the way to go* (odds recorded 18:18 GMT on March 10th, 2022 at Bet365).


Key Facts – Worcester Warriors vs Exeter Chiefs Betting Tip

  • Worcester Warriors have lost 7 of their last 8 league fixtures
  • Worcester Warriors have won 1 of 19 previous Premiership matches against Exeter
  • Exeter Chiefs are on a four match winning streak


Despite losing their last three at home against Exeter Chiefs, the Warriors were within four points on each occasion.

Given that Exeter haven’t been winning matches by wide margins, there is some sense in backing Worcester to stay close.

The Exeter 1-7 winning margin pick is at 16/5* (odds recorded 18:18 GMT on March 10th, 2022 at Bet365).


The best betting odds for Worcester Warriors vs Exeter Chiefs

Worcester Warriors to win: 11/4 at Bet365
Draw: 20/1 at Bet365
Exeter Chiefs to win: 1/4 at Bet365