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ATP World Tour Finals Betting

ATP Finals O2 Arena London - © GEPA pictures

The ATP World Tour Finals was founded back in 1970 as an end of season celebration for the best performing players of that given season. The tournament was initially known as the Masters Grand Prix and it was hosted in Tokyo. The tournament has gone through plenty of changes across its history, ranging from Stan Smith topping out a round robin format in the inaugural event, which featured six players in total, through to the current format of the top eight points-earners getting through to the event.

Indoor experience of Federer to tip the balance
ATP World Tour Finals 2017 Winner Odds & Predictions

The tournament switched to being called the ATP World Championships in 1990 in a bit of a makeover as the ATP took over the event for the first time and then switched up again in 2000 when it became the Tennis Masters Cup. The switch over to the ATP World Tour Finals happened in 2009 and it has stuck ever since. In general, it has been raised to the status of really being the most indoor tournament of the tennis season. It is a prestigious honour to be picked up at the end of the calendar year.

ATP World Tour Finals Qualification

Eight players make their way to the ATP World Tour Finals and for the most part, it is all about the points that have been picked up throughout the course of the season from ranking tournaments. Points towards rankings come from the four Grand Slam events and tournaments across the ATP World Tour, the ATP Challenger Tour and the ITF Futures. The 18 tournaments which count towards players qualification points are the four Grand Slams, the 8 mandatory ATP Masters and the best results from 6 other ranking tournaments.

Out of all that the top seven players from the ATP rankings get their places at the event and up to two Grand Slam winners ranked between 8th and 20th for the season (if such players exist, which is pretty unusual). If the eight spots haven’t been filled then the next players in the ATP rankings get in.

ATP World Tour Finals Format

The format of the ATP World Tour Finals is a unique one because it is the only event of the ATP season that isn’t just a straight knockout event. The first stage of the tournament is a round robin format with the eight players split over two groups. Each player plays the other players in their group once and the top two from that go through to the semi-finals. The winner of the first group plays the runner-up of the second group and vice versa in the knockout stages. All matches across the tournament, from the group stage to the final are all the best of three tie-break sets.


Running alongside the singles event at the ATP World Tour Finals is a doubles event as well, which consists of eight teams. The qualification process is pretty much the same as that of the singles qualifiers, however, there is no commitment tournament so the ranking/qualifications points come from the 18 tournaments where a team’s highest points were collected from. The format of the doubles tournament for the Finals is also the same as the singles, going through a round robin format.


The initial tournament in 1970 was won by American Stan Smith and that was his only title at the event. Other big names to have won it just the once includes Jimmy Connors and Andre Agassi. Legends of the sports Bjorn Borg and Lleyton Hewitt both won it twice through their careers, while Boris Becker and John McEnroe collected it three times each. Ilie Nastase won the event four times, and only four other players have won it on more occasions, Novak Djokovic, Pete Sampras, Ivan Lendl and Roger Federer. Peter Fleming and John McEnroe are the most successful doubles players with seven titles, while the Bryan brothers won it four times.

2017 ATP World Tour Finals Review

The 2017 ATP World Tour Finals only had half of the big four in the sport in attendance. Neither Andy Murray (who had won the 2016 edition) nor Novak Djokovic put in an appearance. The tournament then had the early loss of Rafael Nadal who had to withdraw with an injury in the round robin stage. He was replaced by fellow Spaniard Pablo Carreno Busta.

With the draw opening up it left Roger Federer as the favourite but he slipped to a semi-final upset against Belgium’s David Goffin. Goffin became only the fifth player in history to beat both Nadal and Federer in the same tournament. Goffin would move forward to meet Grigor Dimitrov in the final. The two had already met in the group stage with Dimitrov winning 6-0 6-2 to top the group. The Bulgarian would come out on top again taking down Goffin in three sets in the final.

Tennis Betting – Odds, Preview and Predictions

2018 ATP World Tour Finals Preview

With Andy Murray not having qualified because of a lack of playing time throughout the 2018 season, the tournament suffered another big loss as Rafael Nadal withdrew ahead of the event through an abdominal injury. The way things were set up it would have been a fascinating showdown between Nadal and Djokovic for the world number one spot. Djokovic ends the year as world number one face of Nadal’s withdrawal. Russia’s Karen Khachanov is the first alternative.

Juan Martin del Potro had qualified for the first time since 2013 but he has withdrawn as well. Roger Federer, who is the most successful player in the history of the ATP World Tour Finals with six titles is back, seeking to add his first since 2011. He is the second seed at the tournament with Djokovic top seed. That means they will be in opposite round robin groups and could only meet in the final, therefore. Djokovic, with such powerful end of season form, is the 4/7 outright favourite at Betfair to win* (betting odds taken on November 5th, 2018 at 4:50 pm). A win for Djokovic at this year’s tournament would move him on to six ATP World Tour Finals alongside Federer.

The qualified players are: Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, Alexander Zverev, Kevin Anderson, Marin Cilic, Dominic Thiem, Kei Nishikori, John Isner.
First alternatives: Karen Khachanov and Borna Coric.

The tournament runs from 11th-18th November 2018

ATP Finals 2018 Infographic

You can find betting odds, previews and predictions about upcoming Tennis fixtures at the ATP World Tour Finals in our news category Tennis Betting: