Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes Odds and Preview – Horse Racing Betting May 18

Laurens to boost fillies' record in the Lockinge

Horse Racing Betting

This Saturday’s Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes is the first major mile contest for older horses in the UK Flat season. It’s gaining a reputation for fields bigger than normal for the type of race and therefore offers more betting opportunities, even though this year’s renewal is probably well up to the level of previous years.

Lockinge Stakes History and Trends

Contested over the straight mile at Newbury in Berkshire the race is named after Lockinge, a village located on the border of Berkshire and Oxfordshire. It was established in 1958 and originally open to horses aged three or older. The first running was won by that year’s 2000 Guineas Stakes winner Pall Mall and the horse repeated his success as a four-year-old in 1959.

The Lockinge Stakes was given Group 2 status in the 1970s but relegated to Group 3 level in 1983. Promoted back to Group 2 in 1985, it was raised to Group 1 level and closed to three-year-olds in 1995. It now forms part of the British Champions Series, being the second race in the mile division which concludes with the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes in October. Winners of the Lockinge Stakes often go on to compete in the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot with the mighty Frankel the last to win both races in the same year in 2012.

    • Four-year-olds have easily the best record in the Lockinge Stakes. That age group has won nine of the last 11 runnings with five-year-olds taking the other two – older horses are usually worth swerving.
    • Only 12 fillies have taken part since 2004 but four of those have won.
    • The last 12 winners had all won over a mile previously.
    • All recent winners had been officially rated 113 or higher.

Lockinge Stakes Winners Since 2007

Season Form
Year Winner Jockey Trainer Age Weight Price Stall Rating R W
2007 Red Evie Jamie Spencer Michael Bell 4 8-11 8/1 7 (8) 115 0 0
2008 Creachadoir Frankie Dettori Saeed Bin Suroor 4 9-0 3/1 7 (12) 118 1 0
2009 Virtual Jimmy Fortune John Gosden 4 9-0 6/1 10 (12) 113 1 0
2010 Paco Boy Richard Hughes Richard Hannon 5 9-0 8/11 3 (9) 124 1 1
2011 Canford Cliffs Richard Hughes Richard Hannon 4 9-0 4/5 4 (10) 127 0 0
2012 Frankel Tom Queally Sir Henry Cecil 4 9-0 2/7 6 (7) 136 0 0
2013 Farhh
Silvestre De Sousa
Saeed Bin Suroor 5 9-0 100/30 5 (13) 124 0 0
2014 Olympic Glory Frankie Dettori Richard Hannon 4 9-0 11/8 3 (8) 125 0 0
2015 Night of Thunder James Doyle Richard Hannon 4 9-0 11/4 3 (18) 121 0 0
2016 Belardo Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian 4 9-0 8/1 6 (13) 117 2 1
2017 Ribchester William Buick Richard Fahey 4 9-0 7/4 5 (9) 122 1 0
2018 Rhododendron Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 4 8-11 100/30 2 (16) 116 1 0

Le Brivido bids to give Aidan O’Brien back-to-back victories in the Lockinge and is having his first run over a mile since finishing second in the French 2000 Guineas in 2017 but the general 7/2 owes more to his connections than his overall form and he offers little in the way of value.

Mythical Magic has gone up a level at Meydan this year but whether he’ll be able to reproduce that form back in the UK is questionable and the Godolphin gelding is a general 14/1. Lord Glitters (a general 8/1) finished ahead of Without Parole in the Dubai Turf in March but was beaten by Beat The Bank in last year’s Summer Mile at Ascot. Andrew Balding’s five-year-old was only 12th last year but has had a prep run this time and beat Sharja Bridge (10/1 with Boylesports) in the bet365 Mile at Sandown. He was beaten by shock winner Accidental Agent and Lord Glitters in the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot last summer but had no luck in-running and is expected to reverse that form this weekend.

Sir Dancealot had excellent form last season so could be overpriced at a best 33/1 but he’s not really proven beyond 7f. LAURENS was just touched off by Billesdon Brook in last year’s 1000 Guineas at Newmarket but has made the greater progress since and can enhance the excellent record that fillies have in this Group 1.

The apple of trainer Karl Burke’s eye, she’s done all of her winning so far against her own sex but there were legitimate excuses when the daughter of Siyouni was well beaten in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot in October and she loves a galloping track. The likely strong pace is another plus as she stays further and has to be the bet at a stand-out 11/2 with Ladbrokes.

Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes Current Best Odds

Le Brivido 7/2, Laurens 11/2, Beat The Bank 7/1, Lord Glitters 8/1, Mustashry 9/1, Sharja Bridge 10/1, Without Parole 12/1, Mythical Magic 14/1, Ostilio 16/1, I Can Fly 20/1, Accidental Agent and Romanised 28/1, Billesdon Brook and  Sir Dancealot 33/1

(Odds correct at 1.45pm May 16)


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