Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Odds – Young Shelton a name to watch out for at 250/1 with Bet365

Finau raring to go after taking a break

Francesco Molinari /Municipal Golf Course ©imago images / Icon SMI 04.03.2020

The rough was grown long at Bay Hill last year, which contributed to some indifferent scoring. Conditions should be more amenable this year in a US PGA tournament which has been kind to overseas players in the past.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Past Winners

Year Player Country Score To Par 1st Prize ($) Purse ($)
2019 Francesco Molinari Italy 280 -8 1,638,000 9,100,000
2018 Rory McIlroy N. Ireland 270 -18 1,602,000 8,900,000
2017 Marc Leishman Australia 277 -11 1,566,000 8,700,000
2016 Jason Day Australia 271 -17 1,134,000 6,300,000
2015 Matt Every US 269 -19 1,134,000 6,300,000
2014 Matt Every US 275 -13 1,116,000 6,200,000
2013 Tiger Woods US 275 -13 1,116,000 6,200,000
2012 Tiger Woods US 275 -13 1,080,000 6,000,000
2011 Martin Laird Scotland 280 -8 1,080,000 6,000,000
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard
2010 Ernie Els South Africa 277 -11 1,080,000 6,000,000
2009 Tiger Woods United States 275 -5 1,080,000 6,000,000
2008 Tiger Woods United States 270 -10 1,044,000 5,800,000
2007 Vijay Singh Fiji 272 -8 990,000 5,500,000
Bay Hill Invitational presented by MasterCard
2006 Rod Pampling Australia 274 -14 990,000 5,500,000
2005 Kenny Perry United States 276 -12 900,000 5,000,000
2004 Chad Campbell United States 270 -18 900,000 5,000,000
Bay Hill Invitational presented by Cooper Tires
2003 Tiger Woods United States 269 -19 810,000 4,500,000
2002 Tiger Woods United States 275 -13 720,000 4,000,000
Bay Hill Invitational
2001 Tiger Woods United States 273 -15 630,000 3,500,000
2000 Tiger Woods United States 270 -18 540,000 3,000,000
1999 Tim Herron United States 274 -14 450,000 2,500,000
1998 Ernie Els South Africa 274 -14 360,000 2,000,000
1997 Phil Mickelson United States 272 -16 270,000 1,500,000
1996 Paul Goydos United States 275 -13 216,000 1,200,000
Nestle Invitational
1995 Loren Roberts United States 272 -16 216,000 1,200,000
1994 Loren Roberts United States 275 -13 216,000 1,200,000
1993 Ben Crenshaw United States 280 -8 180,000 1,000,000
1992 Fred Couples United States 269 -19 180,000 1,000,000
1991 Andrew Magee United States 203* -13 180,000 1,000,000
1990 Robert Gamez United States 274 -14 162,000 900,000
1989 Tom Kite United States 278 -6 144,000 800,000


Arnold Palmer Invitational History and Course Details

The Arnold Palmer Invitational is one of only two PGA Tour events named after former players (the other is the Byron Nelson). Since 1979, it’s been played at Palmer’s Bay Hill Club and Lodge.

The Arnold Palmer is one of just five Invitational events on the US PGA Tour, with a reduced field of 120 players, and no Monday Qualifying. The top 70 players from the previous year’s money list are the only guaranteed to receive invitations.

It’s predecessor – the Florida Citrus Open – was first staged in 1966 and played at the Rio Pinar golf club in Orlando. The tournament was moved to Bay Hill in 1979 and became known as the Bay Hill Citrus Classic but it only became an invitational event in 1984.

The Championship course at Bay Hill is 7381 yards long. It starts with a 461-yard par four and doesn’t get any easier, though the numerous lakes it borders aren’t really a threat if drives are straight and true. Professionals call it tough but fair with no hidden traps, a theory backed up by the fact that no winner in the last 30 years has finished with a score higher than five under par. This year’s tournament has total prize money of $9,300,000.

Only two players have won this tournament more than once – Tiger Woods and Matt Every. Woods isn’t playing this week and Every’s drug problems resurfaced last year.

Rory McIlroy won this in 2018 and is only a best 5/1 to regain his title.

The world number one is back at the very top of his game but his odds reflect that and there may be bigger fish to fry in the weeks ahead.

Tommy Fleetwood looked certain to force a play-off with Sungjae Im in last week’s Honda Classic until a bad misjudgement with his final approach shot. The Englishman also arrives in peak form and is a best 14/1.

At 50/1 with Marathonbet, MATTHEW FITZPATRICK looks overpriced.

The Sheffield-born pro was second in this last year before a seventh place in the Masters. He’s the type of player who plays well on the same courses year after year and a first win on the US PGA Tour is surely just a matter of time.

Fitzpatrick ended last year with top 10 finishes in South Africa and Dubai and tied for second in the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship in January. He put in four consistent rounds in the WGC Mexico Championship last month without threatening the leaders and will enjoy being back at Bay Hill.

TONY FINAU is our second each-way selection at a general 33/1.

He’s already achieved three top 10 finishes on the tour in the calendar year, including a second in the Phoenix Open.

After a rare blip in the Genesis Invitational, the Utah native took a couple of weeks off to recharge his batteries so should be raring to go. He’s consistent enough to be prominent this week with his birdie and eagle average this season among the best.

ROBBY SHELTON is not yet a name familiar to golf punters but this is a young man on the up.

A couple of strong performances at The Greenbrier and the Mayakoba Classic at the end of last year gave notice of his potential and he was only five shots behind Sungjae Im and three shorts behind Tommy Fleetwood in the Honda Classic last week.

Obviously, he’ll need to work even harder to make the big breakthrough but at just 24 the sky could be the limit for Alabama six-footer, who only turned pro in 2016.

Shelton is 250/1 with Bet365 to win at Bay Hill this week and some bookmakers are paying out on eight places for each-way betting.

He is also 11/1 with Bet365 to finish in the top 20.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Outright Winner Current Best Odds

Rory McIlroy 5/1
Tommy Fleetwood 14/1
Bryson Dechambeau 18/1
Hideki Matsuyama 20/1
Adam Scott and Xander Schauffele 22/1
Sungjae Im 25/1
Patrick Reed 28/1
Tony Finau, Jason Day and Brooks Koepka 33/1
Rickie Fowler 35/1
Justin Rose, Byeong Hun An, Marc Leishman and Henrik Stenson 40/1
Collin Morikawa 45/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick and Bubba Watson 50/1
Tyrrell Hatton 55/1
Billy Horschel and Abraham Ancer 60/1
Viktor Hovland 66/1
Phil Mickelson, Wyndham Clark, Max Homa, Kevin Kisner and Lee Westwood 80/1
Rafael Cabrera Bello and Brendan Steel 90/1
Charl Schwartzel, Ian Poulter, Scottie Scheffler, Joaquin Niemann, Joaquin Niemann and Ryan Moore 100/1
110/1 and Upwards Others

(Odds correct at 14.30 GMT March 4)

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