Atletico Madrid V Arsenal Predictions & Betting Odds

Atletico Madrid v Arsenal Betting Preview – UEFA Europa League 3rd May 8.05pm

Arsenal conceded a late equaliser in the first leg at the Emirates, a goal which really puts them on the back foot in his tie. That was a tough away goal to give up because it came from a mistake and it was against ten men too. So that is a big advantage that Atletico Madrid took away from that first game with the away goal in the bag and now have home advantage at the Wanda Metropolitano where they are so strong. Have Arsenal played their way into a hole too big to climb out of?

Atletico Madrid News and Form

Atletico earned themselves a great lifeline in this tie thanks to some stern defending and Antoine Griezmann getting them a late equaliser out of nothing in the first leg. The Spaniards had their backs against the wall in London after they had lost full-back Šime Vrsaljko to a red card in the first half which meant that they were under the cosh for most of the game. But if there is one team that you can rely on for defence, it is Atletico Madrid. They dug in there, didn’t collapse after conceding and got their reward. Now it’s back to home soil where they are strong. Atletico Madrid have won 15 of their last 16 home games in the Europa League (which includes qualifying) and at their new home, they have won all three games there without conceding a goal. Atletico Madrid to win to nil at bet365 is at 7/4 odds* (betting odds taken on May 29th, 2018 at 4:00 p.m.). Given their defence, it’s not a bad proposition. They have eleven straight clean sheets in all competitions on home soil.

Overall Los Rojiblancos have played six European matches in their new home of the Wanda Metropolitano. They lost their first there against Chelsea in this season’s Champions League group stage, but Atleti are W4 D1 since then. Incidentally the defeat against Chelsea in what sequence is their only defeat in their last 17 home games in Europe, winning thirteen of those. From their twelve previous UEFA Europa League knockout stage home matches Atletico have suffered just the one loss in that sequence. They have won the Europa League twice before in their history (2010 and 2012) and they have won ten of their previous home legs in UEFA semi-finals and they are undefeated in five with a W4 D1 record. Griezmann, who looks to be heading out this summer, is the bet365 11/4 first goalscorer favourite* (betting odds taken on May 29th, 2018 at 4:00 p.m.) for the game. They have won 11 of the 13 UEFA ties after drawing the first leg away from home. Atlético’s record in 28 matches against English clubs is W10 D12 L6

Arsenal News and Form

Arsenal may end up ruing their missed opportunity of being a goal to the good and a man to the good in that first leg. They just couldn’t come up with a second goal and they were dealt a heavy blow at the death through a defensive mistake. They were in control of the tie but it has slipped away now. The Gunners have won six of their last eight away fixtures in Europe now, including four of six played this season. Their sole defeat in what sequence was against Cologne in the group stage. The Premier League side were going along very well on a four-match winning away streak in Europe before drawing at CSKA Moscow in the last round when they had a bit of qualification scare. Now they have to try and crack one of the best defences in Europe a couple of times to try and put themselves through to the final. In the bet365 correct score market an Atletico Madrid 1-0 result is the shortest-priced option at 11/2* (betting odds taken on May 29th, 2018 at 4:00 p.m.). Arsenal’s away record in UEFA semi-finals is W2 D2 L2.

The problem, of course, is that their own defence is going to come under more pressure than it did at home in the first leg. Arsenal are W5 L1 from their previous six UEFA semi-finals. The loss in that sequence came against Manchester United in the 2008/09 UEFA Champions League so the Gunners haven’t actually lost one against a foreign side. Arsenal are W3 D3 in European ties after drawing the first leg at home, and they have lost their last two. Their record against Spanish sides overall isn’t too bad at W10 D6 L14, however, their record in Spain is pretty unreliable at W2 D3 L9. They have not taken a win there in any of their last seven trips to Spain (D2 L5) since beating Real Madrid at the Bernabeu in the 2005/06 UEFA Champions League round of 16. Based on Athletico’s remarkable defence at home the both teams NOT to score option is at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on May 29th, 2018 at 4:00 p.m.). Arsenal have a lot to do, but they are still in it.

Atletico Madrid v Arsenal Head to Head

This will be just the second game between the two clubs following last week’s first meet up.

Atletico Madrid v Arsenal Betting Odds*

Atletico Madrid 4/6, Draw 11/4, Arsenal 4/1* (Betting Odds taken at May 29th, 2018 at 4:00 p.m., 2018)