ATP Mutua Madrid Open Tennis Betting Odds, Tips and Preview

Nadal squares up for third Madrid Open title

Rafael Nadal (Spain)
Rafael Nadal (Spain) © GEPA pictures

ATP Mutua Madrid Open Tennis Betting Info
The Madrid Open is a ATP World Tour Masters 1000 Premier event, and it is staging its 12th edition. This event has a huge attraction and last year it was controversial because of the new blue clay that had been laid down, and players had a tough time getting their footing. The Spanish tournament has switched back to their highly praised red clay courts for this year’s edition.

ATP Mutua Madrid Open Tennis Betting Favourite
It is a clay court tournament and therefore the favourite will be Rafael Nadal. The Spaniard will be at home and he will have massive support behind him. However, this is a tournament which has surprisingly struggled to dominate. He has only won it twice before, in 2005 and 2010 but should be shaping up well to at least make the final. The current world number five has a 25-8 match record at the tournament and he goes off after successfully winning the Barcelona Open for the eighth time in his career. That was his 54th title from his illustrious career. Is he worth going against on clay, given the form he has delivered on his comeback this season? Four titles and two losing finalist performances is what he has racked up this season. Little doubt that he will go strongly and yet is still trading at a bit of value at a price of Evens with online bookmaker Paddy Power.

Other Contenders
World number one Novak Djokovic should be in the mix at the business end of the season. The Serbian beat Rafael Nadal in the final of Monte Carlo on clay and therefore will naturally be the closest challenger to the King of Clay. Djokovic has been great again this season, running up three titles, but just one in his last three outings. Truthfully in his run to the final of Monte Carlo he was pretty untroubled, but it came after an ankle injury and taking out Nadal on the surface is never easy. Djokovic has won the Madrid title once before, taking the title against Nadal in the 2011 final in Barcelona. It looks likely that that would be a rematch this season for the final.

The reason why Nadal and Djokovic will be so heavily backed (look at the outright winner odds) is that the other half of the big four have too many questions about them. The reigning champion is Roger Federer, who won the Madrid Open in what was his first clay court event of the 2012 season. Federer hasn’t been out since playing at Indian Wells and has deliberately been picking and choosing his tournaments in order to maintain his longevity. He is a three time winner of the Mutua Madrid Open, but as he hasn’t played since March and the fact that he would be underdog against Nadal (whose half of the draw he is in) and Djokovic puts him on the fringes.

Andy Murray is also a previous winner of the Madrid Open, taking the title back in 2008. The trouble with Murray is that he just isn’t as good on clay as he is on any other surface. There is just not enough reason to really suggest that he’ll get the better of Djokovic and Nadal either. The British number one goes in Djokovic’s quarter of the draw. He has one ATP World Tour Masters 1000 for the season, winning in Miami. Unlikely to back it up here on clay.

Best Outside Bet
The best outside bet will be David Ferrer. The Spaniard is strongest when he is on clay and the world number four can pull off surprises. However, he is in the quarter of Nadal’s and that makes it tough for him. Still, hasn’t been in superb form, and he lost the Portugal Open on Sunday against Stanislas Wawrinka. A long shot at 22/1 at online bookmaker Paddy Power and he is one of the best clay players on the Tour.

Latest ATP Mutua Madrid Open Tennis Betting Prices at online bookmaker Paddy Power
Rafael Nadal Evens, Novak Djokovic 6/5, Roger Federer 12/1, Andy Murray 14/1, David Ferrer 22/1, Tomas Berdych 40/1

Online Bookmaker Promotion
There is a live in running tennis betting promotion available at online bookmaker Paddy Power. It is worth following the top tennis action with the bookie this week, and if the final point in any match is an ACE, then the bookie will refund all losing in-running match bets on that match. This applies to all mens singles matches and the maximum refund is up to £100 per customer per match.