ATP Shanghai Tennis 2018 Winner Odds & Predictions

Argentine can make title run

Tennis Betting

ATP Shanghai 2018 Preview – October 7th – 14th, 2018

The ATP Tour moves on to its penultimate Masters 1000 tournament this week with the action in Shanghai starting up. So there are more big points up for grabs for those players still looking to muscle their way into the end of season Championships. Four spots remain open there and that puts pressure on some of those in the field this week.

ATP Shanghai Winner Odds*

Novak Djokovic 7/4
Roger Federer 10/3
Juan Martin del Potro 8/1
Alexander Zverev 10/1
Kei Nishikori 12/1
Marin Cilic 14/1
Dominic Thiem 16/1
Kevin Anderson 20/1
Nick Kyrgios 22/1
Milos Raonic 25/1
Stan Wawrinka 25/1
Bar 40/1
* (betting odds taken on October 7th, 2018 at 3:11 pm)
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Djokovic and Federer Return

Novak Djokovic is the joint title leader alongside Andy Murray in Shanghai. Murray is out of action for the rest of the season while Djokovic is going into this as the 7/4 favourite* (betting odds taken on October 7th, 2018 at 3:11 pm). Djokovic has been resting up since his US Open title success where he got the better of Juan Martin del Potro in the final. So the most that can be said about the Serbian is that he is coming back fresh. He also has that strong tournament history as well.

This is a tournament which the big guns have historically dominated so it may not be worth digging down the field too much really. Roger Federer comes back into action in Shanghai as he looks for his first Masters 1000 title of the season. He has lost two Masters 1000 finals this season including the Western & Southern Open back in August. At the back end of the season, it may tough to warrant backing him.

Delpo’s hard court stats a good fit

The courts are expected to play quick in Shanghai though and therefore he is going to need to get his serve working well. He could be having a massive semi-final clash against Juan Martin del Potro to deal with down the line. Del Potro has been on top of his game for a while now and his hard court stats warrant looking at him. He did get to the final of the China Open on the weekend.

That’s usually a bit of a red flag because of fatigue after a long week. But he had a walkover in the semi-finals so should be pretty well rested ahead of this one. His hold of serve percentage is very strong on the hard court surface over the last six months and with form clearly there, he is well worth a look at that nice 8/1 price* (betting odds taken on October 7th, 2018 at 3:11 pm).

Other Contenders

Alexander Zverev looks so short of a price the way that he has been playing lately, which hasn’t been great. Zverev, along with others like Kei Nishikori, Dominic Thiem, Kevin Anderson and Martin Cilic are those looking to secure a place in the NITTO ATP Finals at the end of the season and need points. Nikkori just got to the final of Tokyo to give himself a good boost of breaking into the top eight. He needs a big points haul here.

Cilic is lined up in Zverev’s quarter of Shanghai and of the two we would back Cilic to win that quarter over the German. Anderson has the potential problem of a much worse draw. He could run into Djokovic in the quarter finals which would leave him as heavy underdog there.

Predictions

Of the two front-runners (Djokovic and Federer) then we have to side with the front-runner that is Djokovic. He has looked better and better the longer season has gone on and he could close to within 35 points of Rafael Nadal in the battle for Number One in the Race To London with a win in this one. Federer has won this twice before, but we just imagine that Djokovic is going to be sharper and stronger.

The best of the rest is clearly going to be Juan Martin Del Potro. Just because he is up against Federer potentially late in the tournament and comes in off a busy week, there is enough in the 8/1 odds on him* (betting odds taken on October 7th, 2018 at 3:11 pm) to have an each way flutter.


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